Moscow State University
Professor Andrey Korotayev 32 hours
Time and location: Friday 10:45-12:15, 1158
Office location: 30/1 Spiridonovka, Room 34
This course gives students a foundation for researching and understanding historical, contemporary,
mathematical models of the World System demographic development, demographic dynamics of pre-
Industrial societies and the “Malthusian Trap” theory, escape from the Malthusian Trap, “a trap at the
escape from the Trap” theory and its application to the study of the Arab Spring events, global
migration processes, risks of overpopulation in the least developed countries, demographic dividend of
the emergent markets, demographic problems of the most developed countries, forecasts of the global
demographic future. A special attention will be paid to the study of the correlation between the phase
of the global demographic transition and the phases of Great Divergence/Great Convergence. Students
will be exposed to the basics of demographic theory as well as basics of mathematical modeling of
global demographic processes.
Upon completing this course, students should be able to achieve the Course Learning Outcomes
Course Learning Outcome (CLO)
Describe the trends, factors and mechanisms of the global demographic dynamics
Understand the global demographic transition in conjunction with trends, factors,
Analyze the impacts of global demographic transition on the global economic
Identify the demographic problems that the World System will face in the
Written examination: 40%
Oral examination: 40%
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