55
S.E. of regression
532134.6 Akaike info criterion
29.51403
Sum squared resid
8.50E+11 Schwarz criterion
29.40991
Log likelihood
-85.54210 F-statistic
4.850624
Durbin-Watson stat
1.914600 Prob(F-statistic)
0.114792
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS (MVD) C MVS (MVS)^2
Estimation Equation:
=====================
MVD = C(1) + C(2)*MVS + C(3)*(MVS)^2
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
MVD = -60620106.41 + 5856419.656*MVS - 137640.885*(MVS)^2 (
1
)
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ticə
: Optimal mə
nfəə
t vergisi də
rə
cə
si 21.3 faiz
Dependent Variable: CVD
Method: Least Squares
Sample (adjusted): 2000 2013
Included observations: 14 after adjustments
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
MVS
307027.5
85142.28
3.606053
0.0036
(MVS)^2
-9318.595
2971.417
-3.136078
0.0086
R-squared
0.347771 Mean dependent var
1366121.
Adjusted R-squared
0.293419 S.D. dependent var
1666352.
S.E. of regression
1400708. Akaike info criterion
31.27442
Sum squared resid
2.35E+13 Schwarz criterion
31.36571
Log likelihood
-216.9209 Durbin-Watson stat
0.330846
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS (CVD) MVS (MVS)^2
Estimation Equation:
=====================
CVD = C(1)*MVS + C(2)*(MVS)^2
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
CVD = 307027.5379*MVS - 9318.595278*(MVS)^2 (
2
)
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ticə
: Uzun müddə
tli dövrdə
optimal mə
nfəə
t vergisi də
rə
cə
si 16.47 faizdir
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS (CVD-NSVD) (MVS) @TREND MA(3)
Estimation Equation:
=====================
56
CVD-NSVD = C(1)*MVS + C(2)*@TREND + [MA(3)=C(3),BACKCAST=1997]
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
CVD-NSVD = -33050.94734*MVS + 113841.5895*@TREND + [MA(3)=-0.842370745,BACKCAST=1997] (
3
)
Dependent Variable: CVD-NSVD
Method: Least Squares
Sample (adjusted): 2003 2013
Included observations: 11 after adjustments
Convergence achieved after 12 iterations
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
MVS
-33050.95
13582.07
-2.433425
0.0410
@TREND
113841.6
24464.74
4.653293
0.0016
MA(3)
-0.842371
0.080526
-10.46079
0.0000
R-squared
0.761960 Mean dependent var
600328.3
Adjusted R-squared
0.702450 S.D. dependent var
538883.2
S.E. of regression
293951.0 Akaike info criterion
28.24721
Sum squared resid
6.91E+11 Schwarz criterion
28.35573
Log likelihood
-152.3597 Durbin-Watson stat
1.438922
Inverted MA Roots
.94
-.47-.82i
-.47+.82i
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: Mə
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t vergisi də
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sinin hə
r bir faiz aş
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ı salınması qeyri-neft sektorundan
vergi daxilolmalarını tə
xminə
n 33 milyon manat artırır.
Estimation Command:
=====================
LS (CVD-NSVD) (MVS) (MVS)^2
Estimation Equation:
=====================
CVD-NSVD = C(1)*MVS + C(2)*(MVS)^2
Substituted Coefficients:
=====================
CVD-NSVD = 122713.085*MVS - 3779.254379*(MVS)^2 (
4
)
Dependent Variable: CVD-NSVD
Method: Least Squares
Sample: 2003 2013
Included observations: 10
Variable
Coefficient
Std. Error
t-Statistic
Prob.
MVS
122713.1
42922.23
2.858963
0.0212