WORKING PAPER #51
Which Districts Get Into Financial Trouble and Why:
Michigan’s Story
David Arsen
Michigan State
University
Thomas A. DeLuca
Univeristy of Kansas
Yongmei Ni
University of Utah
Michael Bates
University of California, Riverside
November 2015
The content of this paper does not necessarily reflect the views of The Education Policy Center or Michigan State University
Author Information
David Arsen
Professor, Department of Educational Administration
College of Education, Michigan State University
Thomas A. DeLuca
Assistant Professor, Department of Educational Leadership & Policy Studies
School of Education, University of Kansas
Yongmei Ni
Associate Professor, Department of Education Leadership & Policy
College of Education, University of Utah
Michael Bates
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics
University of California, Riverside
Abstract
Like other states, Michigan has implemented a number of policies to change governance and administrative
arrangements in local school districts deem to be in financial emergency. This paper examines two questions: (1) Which
districts get into financial trouble and why? and (2) Among fiscally distressed districts, are there significant differences in
the characteristics of districts in which the state does and does not intervene? We analyze factors influencing district
fund balances utilizing fixed effect models on a statewide panel dataset of Michigan school districts from 1995 to 2012.
We evaluate the impact of state school finance and choice policies, over which local districts have limited control, and
local district resource allocation decisions (e.g., average class size, teacher salaries, and spending shares devoted to
administration, employee health insurance, and contracted services). Our results indicate that 80% of the explained
variation in district fiscal stress is due to changes in districts’ state funding, to enrollment changes including those
associated with school choice policies, and to the enrollment of high-cost, special education students. We also find that
the districts in which the state has intervened have significantly higher shares of African-American and low-income
students than other financially troubled Michigan districts, and they are in worse financial shape by some measures.
Acknowledgments
The work reported here was partially supported by the American Civil Liberties Union of Michigan (Arsen and Ni) and by
the Institute of Education Sciences, U.S. Department of Education, through Grant R305B090011 to Michigan State
University for a doctoral training program in the economics of education (Bates). We received excellent research
assistance from Dongsook Han. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the Education
Policy Center, Michigan State University, the ACLU or the U.S. Department of Education. An earlier version of this paper
was presented at the 2015 annual conference of the Association for Education Finance and Policy.
1
Which Districts Get Into Financial Trouble and Why: Michigan’s Story
David Arsen
Professor, Department of Educational Administration
College of Education, Michigan State University
Thomas A. DeLuca
Assistant Professor, Department of Educational Leadership & Policy Studies
School of Education, University of Kansas
Yongmei Ni
Associate Professor, Department of Education Leadership & Policy
College of Education, University of Utah
Michael Bates
Assistant Professor, Department of Economics
University of California, Riverside
The work reported here was partially supported by the American Civil Liberties Union of
Michigan (Arsen and Ni) and by the Institute of Education Sciences, U.S. Department of
Education, through Grant R305B090011 to Michigan State University for a doctoral training
program in the economics of education (Bates). We received excellent research assistance from
Dongsook Han. The views expressed are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the
Education Policy Center, Michigan State University, the ACLU or the U.S. Department of
Education. An earlier version of this paper was presented at the 2015 annual conference of the
Association for Education Finance and Policy.
2
Which Districts Get Into Financial Trouble and Why: Michigan’s Story
ABSTRACT
Like other states, Michigan has implemented a number of policies to change governance
and administrative arrangements in local school districts deem to be in financial emergency. This
paper examines two questions: (1) Which districts get into financial trouble and why? and (2)
Among fiscally distressed districts, are there significant differences in the characteristics of
districts in which the state does and does not intervene? We analyze factors influencing district
fund balances utilizing fixed effect models on a statewide panel dataset of Michigan school
districts from 1995 to 2012. We evaluate the impact of state school finance and choice policies,
over which local districts have limited control, and local district resource allocation decisions
(e.g., average class size, teacher salaries, and spending shares devoted to administration,
employee health insurance, and contracted services). Our results indicate that 80% of the
explained variation in district fiscal stress is due to changes in districts’ state funding, to
enrollment changes including those associated with school choice policies, and to the enrollment
of high-cost, special education students. We also find that the districts in which the state has
intervened have significantly higher shares of African-American and low-income students than
other financially troubled Michigan districts, and they are in worse financial shape by some
measures.
INTRODUCTION
Legislation in a growing number of states authorizes state governments to take over local
school districts experiencing financial emergencies (Anderson, 2012; Bowman, 2013 and 2011).