Yuri slides Chatham. Final
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| ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO- RUSSIAN RELATIONS (Presentation by Dr.Yuri Shafranik, Chairman of the Board of the Union of Oil and Gas Producers of Russia) ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS •
Sino-Soviet relations since 1949 up to the beginning of the 1990-s does not exist any more. • Now hardly anyone would dispute that the ideological factor is completely gone from the relationship between the two major powers of Eurasia.
ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS •
development and energy security. • China this year overtook the U.S. by the level of dependence on foreign oil supplies. The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology of China published data showing that from January to May the country's dependence on foreign supplies of crude oil reached 55.2% leaving the U.S. behind by this indicator. • How to ensure the energy security of the PRC? Professor of the Institute of Trade and Industrial Management of Chinese Petroleum University Liu Itszyun believes it is necessary to adhere to the long-term policy of imports diversification: to promote onshore strategic channels for import of energy and push oil enterprises to actively participate in investment projects in the energy sector of foreign countries. • The interests of energy security are pushing China to diversify its energy imports. And in recent years, we see how China has been implementing a strategy of diversification by type of resource as well as by geographic location of energy resources.
ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS • China needs and will need for the next 20-25 years more energy to satisfy its constantly growing needs. Russia is its neighbor and has a rather big export potential. • Until now, the main export destination of these resources was Europe. In 2011, the volumes of Russian oil and gas in this area for the first time in recent years declined. At the moment, there is no reason to expect both an increase in export volumes and export prices for oil and gas. • At the same time, to the East of us there is a clear interest in our energy resources and hydrocarbon processing products in countries whose needs will steadily increase over the next 20 years. Hence, the need to build infrastructure to supply these countries not only with energy but also with products of deep processing of hydrocarbons.
ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS • One of our major domestic problems right now is the development of Eastern Siberia and the Far East ‒ a vast and rich with natural resources region, whose population is continuously declining for the last 20 years.
• Region's natural resources ‒ water, forests, energy, raw materials, agricultural, recreational ‒ are huge and varied, but the use is still very inadequate. At the same time, only two Chinese provinces near the border with Russia are home to 141 million Chinese. And throughout the Russian Far East and Eastern Siberia ‒ only 6 million Russians live. Territory - 60,5 Water resources - 70 Hydropower potential - 75,7 Geological resources: coal - 84 oil - 40-50 Population - 11,3 Мастепанов А.М. 40 Share of the East of Russia in the Countries Characteristics, %% Share of the East of Russia in the Countries Characteristics, %% Accumulated production A+B+C 1 C 2 C 3 +D Initial summarized resources 14,6 6,6 12,0 5,4 1,2 0,3 1,3 0,9 0,1 2,7 5,6 Siberian FD’s onshore The Far Eastern FD onshore Восточно - Сибирское и Лаптевых моря Чукотское и Берингово моря Охотское и Японские моря 37,9 31,7 3,6 2,6 0,035 Мастепанов А.М. 41 There are more than 67 Trln cub. м of gas: -on shore – 52,4 - seashelf – 14,9
Far Eastern FD Siberia FD Ural’s FD North-Western Federal District Central FD Privolzhski FD Southern and Caucasus FD 2,4 Yamal peninsula with adjoining aqyatories East of Russia Barentz, Kara and Pechora seas’ shelf Main Gas Producing Regions of Russia in XXI Century North of Tyumen’s Region (YNAО и KMАО) Astrakhan and Orenburg Regions Мастепанов А.М. 28 ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS •
energy cooperation an important task of their governments • President Hu Jintao during his meeting with Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu: new China will continue to cooperate with Russia on key areas for the implementation of the next 10-year program of its development…The two sides over the previous 10 years have achieved "significant progress in cooperation in such fields as energy, science and technology ...". • President Vladimir Putin in June 2012 in "The People's Daily": • "... I want to stress the strategic nature of the dialogue between Russia and China in the energy sector. Our joint projects seriously change the entire configuration of the global energy market. For China, it makes more reliable, more diversified energy supplies for domestic use. For Russia it means opening new export routes to the dynamic Asia-Pacific Region. ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS • The turn to the East is a capital-intensive and multi-step process. Right now the second stage of the ESPO pipeline is being put into operation (November-December 2012). • On October 30, 2012 the Board of Directors of OAO "Gazprom" made a final investment decision on the development of Chayanda’s oil, gas and oil-condensate field and construction of gas pipeline system from Chayanda field to Vladivostok along the existing ESPO-route. Both objects should be put into operation in 2017, the pipeline design capacity is 61 billion m3 per year. In this volume, in addition to domestic consumption, 13.8 billion m3 per year are forseen for the LNG plant in Vladivostok, with the subsequent delivery of LNG mainly to Japan, 10 billion m3 per year of pipeline supplies are going to be delivered to the Republic of Korea through North Korea and about 30 billion m3 per year are planned for shipments to China in the area of Blagoveshchensk or Dalnerechensk. International energy projects in the Eastern regions of Russia Tugnui Urgal Neryungr i Elginskoe Tugurskaia Tidal Power station New LNG/CNG/ gas-chemical plant in Vladivostok Yakutsk gas production center Krasnoyarsk gas production center Irkutsk gas production center Sakhalin gas production center Gas production centers functioning planned Oil pipeline current Oil pipeline planned Gas pipeline planned Coal production centers Recommended gas chemical plant Recommended gas processing plant New oil production centers LNG plant New thermal power stations New hydroelectric power stations Alexey Mastepanov 10 ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS •
• The dominant role of state-owned companies in this sector. State-owned companies, especially large, by their nature are bureaucratic organizations. Slow and conservative. This applies not only to our own, but to Chinese companies, too. As stated by Chinese officials, often they are not competitive and are burdened by problems such as ineffective monitoring of costs and environmental pollution. “Large volumes of costs still comprise non-operational costs of public companies: the support of schools, hospitals, communities, pensions and needy employees. " • In Russia one speaks less about it, but in reality the lack of flexibility of state companies is perhaps the most important brake to reorientation of our energy exports to China and other Asian countries. ENERGY FACTOR IN SINO-RUSSIAN RELATIONS Conclusion: several factors are pushing us to development of energy cooperation between Russia and China: territorial proximity, demographics, lack of energy in one country and redundancy of it in the other, close views of political leaders on the problem. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION Yüklə 1,14 Mb. Dostları ilə paylaş:
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