Green Parties under Comparative Perspective
Ferdinand MÜLLER-ROMMEL
Wien Universität
Working Paper n.99
Barcelona 1994
1. GREEN PARTIES' ORIGINS: FROM NEW SOCIAL MOVEMENTS TO PARTY
FORMATION
Ever since the student movements of the 1960s disappeared, other social
movements and citizens' initiative groups have emerged and have developed rapidly
in most Western European countries. At the end of the 1960s new issues like air and
water pollution, noise, harmful substances in foodstuffs and the preservation of
scarce resources have entered political debate and have politicized opinion in
Europe. From the early 1970s onwards, widespread awareness of environmental
deterioration has been apparent and has become one of the central political issues in
Western Europe. The famous 1972 Club of Rome Report, Limits of Growt, is
symbolic for the larger and long-term problems associated with environmental
destruction caused by governmental environmental policies, that have often
succumbed to economic pressures.
In many European countries, the politization of the environmental issue led to
the foundation of environmental groups at local and regional levels. Most of these
groups emerged spontaneously and were motivated by and protested about single or
limited issues, such as the provision of parks, urban renewal, new highways and the
construction of nuclear power plants. These groups employed a variety of methods in
seeking to influence and change policy decisions of the established parties. They
utilised local and national laws on giving the public access to plans for urban renewal
and constructions, and on compulsory hearings for those directly concerned. Other
methods used were liaison and consultations with local councils, particularly on
planning matterns, and also direct action in influencing the public. In many countries,
the success of the local environmental movements led to the establishment of
national umbrella organizations in order to strengthen the political impact of the
environmental movements nationally; for instance, the Federal Association of
Environmental Citizen Initiatives-BBU in Germany (founded in 1972), the Amis de la
Terre in France (1971), the Miljövarsgruppernas Riförbund-MIGRI in Sweden (1971),
and the Vereiniging Milieudefensie-VMD in the Netherlands (1972).
In the mid 1970s, one particular issue became dominant in several European
countries: nuclear energy. Heavily influenced by the oil crisi, most european
governments decided to expand their nuclear energy programme. It was, however,
precisely the nuclear power issue that demonstrated the need for organizing social
movements at the national level, since energy problems could not be resolved
politically at the local level. More and more local action groups in various countries
formed nationally organized "antinuclear-power" organizations as, for instance, the
Organization for Information on Nuclear Power-OOA in Denmark (founded in 1974),
the Committee for the Co-ordination of Regional Antinuclear Power Initiatives-LEK im
the Netherlands (1973), the Miljöverbund in Sweden (1976), the Initiative of
Anti-Nuclear Power Plants-IÖAG in Austria (1976), and the Action against Nuclear
Power-AMA in Norway (1974).
In the late 1970s, another issue became prominent in several European
nations: the NATO dual track policy on intermediate nuclear forces and the eventual
stationing of Cruise missiles and the Pershing II in Western Europe. This political
decision created much solidarity among these movements across national boarders
in Western Europe. Large demonstrations were held, occasional sit-ins, and the
illegal occupation at sites of proposed stationing of missiles took place. Most of these
activities were initiated by national organized peace movements.
At the same time as many political scientists have emphasized, most West
European countries had built up a reserve of cultural support responsive to future
issues concerning the quality and the extent of democracy. However, almost exactly
around the late 1970s, most advanced industrialized European states underwent a
crucial change. In many countries, the unemployment rate increased; more citizens'
initiatives group were formed; protest actions against environmental destruction and
nuclear power plants became a regular new element in the political behaviour of
many Europeans, especially among the younger population; and there emerged a
general and increased "fear" about the security provided by the nuclear deterrence of
NATO. "New" social movements thus became active everywhere on the political
scene. This development more or less indicated that the basic cultural characteristic
had changed in many European countries: weaker class cleavage structures, and the
rise of a new value orientation along with "participating citizens" were the political
symptoms of the 1980s.
In the early 1980s, most citizens' initiative groups and “new” social movements
have looked for closer contact to the Social Democrats or other established left-wing
parties. They expected those parties to act as an effective force against a full
commitment to economic growth, and as a consequence the destruction of the
environmental and the stationing of nuclear power weapons. However, the negative
experiences of the followers of these social movement with the bureaucratic
organizational structures of most left-wing established parties and interest groups as
well as the perceived lack of responsiveness of political institutions to come to grips
with a fundamentally different policy approach, became the major reason for the
foundation and the growth of Green parties in Western Europe.
2. GREEN PARTIES' IDENTITY: DIFFERENCES TO ESTABLISHED PARTIES
As has been pointed out above, most Green parties have similar
back-grounds. They began as networks and alliances of citizen initiative movements
at the local level, formed around social and environmental issues that have largely
been neglected by the established parties in government and opposition. In addition
to that, Green parties differ from established parties with regard to three essential
features (Müller-Rommel, 1990, p. 217f.):
First, most Green parties follow an ideology that consists of strong concerns for equal
rights (especially for minorities), strong ecological and anti-nuclear power thinking,
solidarity with the Third-World, demands for unilateral disarmament, and a general
left-wing egalitarian disposition. Among others, most Green parties stand for peace
through unilateral disarmament and a nuclear-free Europe; also protection of the
natural environment through the introduction of transnational pollution controls, and
more generally an effective environmental policy directed against an unquestioned
commitment to economic growth. These parties advocate an alternative life-style
through less emphasis on material goods, more individualism, self-realization, and
self-determination. They display a more sympathetic orientation towards the Third
World, a concern for the genuine sharing of wealth between rich and poor nations,
and helping poorer countries to create their own self-sufficient economies free of
financial domination by the industrialized nations. In sum, Green parties introduce a
programmatic and ideological thinking which is less consistent with the traditional
ideological framework of the Left/Right dimensions; they advocate a set of alternative
values that differ significantly from those of the established larger parties. In addition,
the issues emphasized by the Greens are widely perceived as challenging the
conventional economic and security policies. Since sympathy with such policies is
likely to rise with growing distance to the production process, the members of the
new middle classes should be disposed to be more favourable to the demands of the
Greens -regardless of their actual value orientation (Baker, Dalton, and Hildebrandt,
1981, p. 152ff.).
Second, all Green parties display a strong preference for participatory party
organization. The organizational structure of most Green parties gives local party
branches more autonomy in decision-making. It is designed to give the grassroots a
maximum chance of interest articulation and, as such, an impact on policy formation
within the party. This process of decentralization in decision-making is seen to be the
essential precondition of meaningful participatory opportunity at all levels of the party
organization, because it distributes power to more units and makes politics more
transparent and hence intelligible.
Third, and most important, Green parties have a similar electorate with
characteristics that differ significantly from those of the established parties. Several
studies of the voters for Green parties in single countries show that Green parties
voters are mainly younger, new middle class, urban, highly educated, with new value
orientations, a general left-wing orientation, and occupy white-collar and government
jobs where the traditional class conflict is virtually non-existent. Furthermore,
comparative data on the electorate of Green parties indicate that most voters of the
Greens display a “left-wing postmaterialist” profile. We refer to this group of voters as
the "New Left” (Müller-Rommel, 1989).
Inherently, the three typical characteristics of Green parties -as described
above- involve many continuos variables. For example, the degree of participatory
party organization varies somewhat between Green parties. Some parties have a
more hierarchically organized party structure than others.
In addition, as regards strategy for implementing Green parties issues, the
Greens may be classified by two different types.
On the one hand, there are the "pure Green reformist parties" that do not
reject free economic enterprise. These parties prefer to select genuine ecologist
issues that do not bring them strongly into policy conflict with the established parties
over the social welfare state and foreign policy. In terms of alliance politics, the
reformist Greens seek cooperation with Social Democratic parties, rather than with
radical new left parties. Among these parties are the Greens in Belgium, Great
Britain, Finland, Sweden, Ireland, Switzerland (GPS), and France.
On the other hand, there are also, "alternative Green radical parties" that seek
fundamental changes in social and political institutions and stand for a new
alternative, social-radical form of democratic paradigm. Most of these parties reject
an alliance with Social Democrats. Rather, they seek cooperation with radical new
left parties. Among them are the Green parties in Luxembourg, Austria, Italy, and
Switzerland (GAS).
3. GREEN PARTIES DEVELOPMENT AND ELECTORAL STRENGTH:
VARIATIONS IN WESTERN EUROPE
Green parties exist in nearly all Western industrialized societies, although their
activities and their electoral strength vary considerably between countries as well as
between the local, regional, and national levels within any one country. (see for a
detailed description and analysis of Green parties in Western Europe, Müller-Rommel
1989, 1993).
In Scandinavia we find Green parties -organized on the national level- in
Finland, Sweden, and Denmark. In Norway small left-wing or liberal parties have
taken over the issues of the environmentalists and peace movements followers on
national level.
The history of the Greens in Finland began in 1979 with the unpopular
decision of the government to drain a lake which was a nature protection area for
birds. The Greens first nominated their own candidates for the 1979 parliamentary
elections, but gained only 0.1% of the national vote. From 1979 until 1983, the
decentralized Green list -which has not been established as a Green party- increased
its voter strength 1.5% of the vote and -because of the proportional electoral system-
won two seats in the parliament. In the 1987 national election the Green list was able
to increase its electoral success to 4% of the total vote and in the 1991 national
election the Greens gained 6.8% (10 seats).
In Sweden many Centre party voters were disillusioned by the party's policy
decision in 1980 to support a referendum for the further building of nuclear power
plants. In 1981 the Miljöpartiet was founded with the support of many former Centre
party followers. According to a reliable Swedish public opinion poll, the Miljöpartiet
would have gained around 4% of the national vote in November 1981. However, the
electoral result in the 1982 general election was disappointing for the Miljöpartiet:
they received only 1.6% of the vote and gained no seats in the national parliament.
Since 1983, the Swedish environmentalists made efforts to establish closer ties to
other Green parties in Europe. In autumn 1984, the party changed its name from
Miljöpartiet to Green Party in order to be more attractive to new social movement
followers at the 1985 national election. The electoral outcome was again very
disappointing for the Greens. Because the Social Democrats adopted several
environmental issues in their programme for the campaign, the Greens only gained
1.5% of the national vote. However, in the 1988 national elections the Greens won
5.5% of the vote and hold 20 seats in parliament. In 1991, the vote for the Green
party in Sweden dropped down to 3.4%. Because of the three percent threshold
hurdle, the Greens lost all seats in the national parliament.
In Denmark a Green party was set up in 1983, but did not receive support
among the voters to appear on the ballot papers for the following national elections.
In the local elections of 1985, the Green party won enough of the vote to elect
several delegates to local councils. According to a national survey, 2.3% of the
population was ready to vote for the Greens in December 1985. However, in the
1987 and 1988 national elections the Danish Greens received only 1.3% of the total
vote. This result was due the fact that in Denmark two other small left-wing parties
adopted major issues of the "new politics" in their party programmes. In addition,
those parties (Socialist People's Party -SF- and the Venstre Socialist Party -VS) were
in close alliance with the antinuclear power and the environmental movements.
Green parties have established in all the Benelux countries. Belgium is the
first country in Western Europe where self-styled representatives of Green parties
were elected to a national parliament (see the detailed study by Riheaux in this
book). Although the two Green parties (AGALEV for the Flemish, and ECOLO for the
Wallons) had already campaigned in the 1977 and 1978 elections, it was not until the
1981 general election that they could win 4.8% of the vote and receive four seats in
the national parliament. In the 1984 European elections, the Greens in Belgium
archived another electoral breakthrough, wining two seats in the European
Parliament. Ever since then, the two Green parties became an established element
of the party system in Belgium. They received 6.2% (9 seats) in the 1985, 7.1% (9
seats) in the 1987, and 10% (17 seats) in the 1991 national election.
In Luxembourg an “alternative list” (AL) was founded in 1979 prior to the
European and national elections. The political protest of the AL was not purely
directed against the environmental policy of the established parties, but also against
the political system as a whole. In both 1979 elections, the AL gained 1% of the vote.
Encouraged by the electoral success of the Belgian Greens in 1981, the followers of
new social movements in Luxembourg -after a series of intensive and conflictive
debates- founded a new Green party in 1983 (The Green Alternative). In the 1984
European and national elections, the party won 6.1% and 5.2% of the vote winning
two seats in the national parliament. Because of the “country-vote-proportional
representation" for the European parliament, the Luxembourg Green party however
has no seats in Strasbourg. In 1989 the Greens could increase its electoral results;
they gained 8.4% (4 seats) in the national and 10.4% in the European election.
Compared to Belgium and Luxembourg, the story of the development of the
Greens in the Netherlands is more complex. Until 1984, the political issues of the
new social movements were largely represented by the Radical Party (PPR) and the
Pacifist-Socialists (PSP). The Radical Party was formed in 1968 as a split from the
Catholic People Party, while the Pacifist-Socialists had split from the Dutch Labour
Party in 1957. Since there was fairly strong support for these parties among the
followers of new social movements, no Green and alternative list or party were
formed. However, because of the new Dutch electoral law for the European election
in 1984 requiring that a party needs at least 4% of the total vote in order to get a seat
in the European Parliament at Strasbourg, the Radicals initiated an alliance with
those left-wing smaller parties which had not polled more than 2% in the national
election. The idea was to reorganize left-wing radical politics in the Netherlands by
founding a party alliance with the PPR, the PSP, and the Communists (CPN). After a
series of critical debates about "Green credentials", these parties founded the Green
Progressive Akkord (GPA), taking the Green label because the party executives
expected to attract additional voters by calling themselves the Greens. A public
opinion survey in 1983 announced that 12.5% of the Dutch voters would support a
Green party. However, the GPA polled only 5.7% at the 1984 European elections,
while the PPR, PSP, and CPN together received 5.6% at the national elections in
1982. These results suggest that the GPA's campaigning strategy has not been as
successful as desired in winning votes, although it has achieved the immediate aim
of getting two candidates elected to the European Parliament, one coming from the
PSP and the other from the PPR. In the 1986 national election a small group of
"pure" ecologists nominated their own candidates on a list called "Green Federation".
This group won 0.2% of the total vote, while the PPR received 1.3%, the PSP 1.2%,
and the Communists 0.6% of the vote. Together, these results total 3.3% of the
national vote, indicating that the small "new politics" parties have lost significantly
over the past three years. In 1989, the green-left parties scored a total of 4.1% (6
seats) and in 1994, they received 3.5% (5 seats) of the national vote.
The Greens in West Germany are composed of an agglomerate of several
citizens' action groups which have been aliented by the bureaucratic organizational
structures of the established parties and interest groups. (see the detailed study by
MülIer-Rommel in this book) It was not until March 1979 that the alternative political
alliance (SPV) was first founded, primarily to contest the European elections of that
year. Following their success in obtaining 3.2% of the vote, they made serious efforts
to form a national party. After a series of lifely conferences which demonstrated the
differences among the various groupings, a party Die Grünen was founded in
January 1980. Following several conferences, the national programme was adopted
in March 1980. Participation in the 1980 Federal election resulted in a rather
disappointing electoral outcome of 1.5% of the vote. In spite of this poor national
performance in 1980, the Green and alternative lists won between 1970 and 1982
more electoral success at the state (Länder) level. In March 1983 the Greens could
increase their supporters to win 5.6% of the national vote and 27 seats in the
Bundestag. In the European election of 1984, the Greens gained an impressive 8.2%
of the vote and received seven seats in the European Parliament. In the 1987 federal
election, they received again 8.3% of the national vote. Because of this result, the
German Greens hold 44 seats in the national parliament between 1987 and 1990.
However, in the 1990 national election, which was the first election after the German
unification, the Greens in East and West Germany nominated two separate lists with
candidates for the national parliament. The West German Greens only gained 3.8%
of the vote and the East German Bündnis '90 received 1.2%. Consequently, the West
German Greens could not send any candidates to the national parliament, because
of the 5% threshold hurdle in the German electoral law. In the Eastern part of
Germany, however, the 5% threshold has been diminished for the 1990 national
election in order to protect minorities. This is why Bündnis '90 could send 8 delegates
to the German national parliament, although they scored only 1.2%. Meanwhile,
Bündnis '90 and Die Grünen are united as one party and will run on one list for the
1994 national election.
The first "Ecology List” in Western Europe to be organized on the national
level was formed in France prior to the 1974 presidential elections. For the first time
in French politics, the ecologists nominated their own presidential candidate. Since
then, the ecologists have taken policy stands which have been radically opposed to
those of the larger established parties. In 1977, three ecological groups formed the
Collectif Ecologie '78 for the purpose of campaigning for the parliamentary elections.
The group favoured a decentralized approach and pronounced its distrust of
traditional political structures. It was, however, not until January 1984 that the various
factions among the Ecologie and other new social movements founded the French
Green party (Les Verts). Electorally, the ecologists have been rather unstable over
the past ten years. In the 1974 presidential elections, the ecological candidates
polled 1.3% of all votes and held sixth place in the field of twelve candidates. In the
1976 cantonal elections, some local ecological groups obtained relatively high
electoral results, and encouraged other ecologists to nominate candidates for the
local election in March 1977. The ecologists, however, have not received the
expected high amount of total votes. In the 1978 general election, the ecologists
nominated candidates in 201 out of 474 constituencies of metropolitan France. They
received the highest vote in Paris and in areas where there was strong local
opposition to nuclear power stations. For the 1979 European elections, the ecologists
formed a list called Europe Ecologie and gained 4.4% of the vote. In the 1981
presidential elections, the ecologists' candidate obtained 3.5% of the poll, 3.1% of the
total electorate, and ranked fifth among the ten presidential candidates. For the 1984
European elections, the French Green party and another moderate Green list
(Entente Radicale Ecologiste-ERE) competed for voters. Because of the electoral
split neither of the two Green organizations received the 5% of the vote necessary to
send Green candidates to the European Parliament. This situation was completely
different in 1989: The Greens gained 10.6% of the vote for the European election and
have received for the first time in its party life nine seats in the European parliament.
The foundation of local Green lists in Italy dates back to 1980, when some
small autonomous ecological groups nominated candidates for local elections in
several Northern-Italian cities. The number of local Green lists increased to 16 in
1983, and for the local administrative elections in May 1985 about 150 Green lists
competed with other parties for voters. On the whole, they won 2.1% of the total
turnout in three districts where they nominated own candidates. This result showed
that Green lists in Italy gained a total of 141 seats in the representative assemblies:
10 in the regional, 16 in the province, and 115 in city councils. In the June 1987
national election the Lista Verde, a joint group of all Green lists in Italy plied 2.5%
and won 13 seats in the national parliament (Chamber of Deputies) and two seats in
the upperhouse (Senate). Despite this, the Italian Greens have remained incohesive
and have been called the "Green Archipelago". In the 1989 European elections, they
gained 6.2% and 5 seats while in the 1992 national elections they only received 2.8%
(16 seats) of the national vote.
The forerunner of the present ecology party in Great Britain was formed in
1973 under the name People's Party. In 1975 the party changed its name to Ecology
Party (and later to the Green party). In contrast to most other Green parties in Europe
the People's Party and the later Ecology Party were not as strongly supported by the
British environmental and peace movement, perhaps because they directed their
political activities as interest groups rather than seeking parliamentary
representatives through political parties. The Ecology Party exists to a greater or
lesser extent throughout the country and is a unified organization, although for
electoral purposes the expressions "Scottish Ecology Party", "Ecology Party of
Wales", and "North Ireland Ecology Party" have been used in some areas. In fact, the
Greens were the fastest growing party in Great Britain until the formation of the
Social Democratic Party in 1981. The Ecologists were for instance quite successful in
the 1976 and 1977 local elections. In the 1979 general elections the Green party
nominated 53 candidates and gained 1.6% of the vote where it contested seats. In
the June 1979 direct elections to the European Parliament, the Greens nominated
three candidates, who gained 3.7% of the vote in their constituencies. The general
elections of 1983 and the European elections of 1984 brought low electoral support
which was likely consequence of the British majority electoral system, where smaller
parties stand hardly any chance of winning seats in the national parliament and it
even discourages sympathetic voters who often feel that a vote or the Ecology Party
is a wasted vote in Britain. In the 1989 European election, the British Greens gained
-to the surprise of most political observers- 10.4% of the vote but no seat. This
support was interpreted as an "unnormal" protest vote.
The Green party in Ireland was founded under the name "Green Alliance" in
1981. The party is essentially a network of small, independent groups, either local
and functioning in a particular geographical area, or of specialists dealing with a
particular issue or aspect of Green Alliance policy. The local and specialist groups
are completely autonomous, and therefore free to adopt the organizational structure
they choose. The Irish Greens fielded seven candidates in the 1982 general elections
and received only a small number of first preference votes. For the 1984 European
election, the Green Alliance nominated only one candidate in the constituency of
Dublin where the party gained 1.9% of the vote. In the 1987 national election they
could slightly increase voting support on national level to 0.4% of the total vote. Since
1989, the Greens have one candidate in the national parliament.
In Austria, two Green parties were founded in 1982: the Alternative List (ALÖ)
and the Green Union (VGÖ). Both parties drew their support mainly from the
followers of smaller citizens' movements and political groups formed around social
and environmental issues. The growth of those groups has been encouraged by the
success of the national referendum against nuclear power plants in 1978. The ALÖ
and VGÖ differ with regard to their ideological stands. While the VGÖ is more a right-
wing party which even nominated "fascist" candidates on their list for the 1983
general elections, the ALÖ programme and strategy is similar to the German Green
party. The ALÖ has established its strength at the local level and has used the
network among the grassroots to gradually extend its electoral support in district
elections. Both parties polled well enough to send Green party members to the
respective parliaments. In the 1983 general elections the Austrian Greens were not
very successful mainly because of conflicts within and among the two parties. The
VGÖ and ALÖ nominated separate lists and gained 1.9% and 1.4% respectively, of
the total vote. With a united Green list and an electoral result of 3.3% (VGÖ/ALÖ),
the Green parties would have been able to send seven delegates to the national
parliament in 1983. For the 1986 national elections both Green parties formed an
alliance and received 4.8% of the vote and 8 seats in the national parliament. In the
1990 national elections, the Greens could stabilize its electoral support: they gained
5.4% and send 9 candidates to the national parliament.
In Switzerland, the first regional Green party was founded in Zürich in 1978.
The party participated in the 1979 general elections with its own candidates list, and
gained one seat in the national parliament because of the proportional electoral law.
In the following years several Green parties were formed in different areas
throughout Switzerland. At the same time, alternative left-wing social movements
developed in larger cities. In May 1983, most of the decentralized Green parties
founded the "Federation of Green Parties in Switzerland" (GPS) on the national level.
One month later, some left-wing followers of the alternative groups established the
"Green Alternative List in Switzerland" (GAS). Both groups nominated their own
candidates for the 1983 general election. The GAS won 3.5% and the GPS 2.9% of
the national vote. In the 1987 national election the GPS could increase its voting
support to 4.8%, while the GAS polled again 3.5%. In the 1991 national elections,
both parties received 7.7% and gained 15 seats in the national parliament.
This cross-national overview has shown that Green parties exist in nearly all
Western European party systems. Between 1978 and 1994 they have participated in
nearly two hundred local and regional elections as well as in 81 national elections in
15 countries. Currently, Green parties are represented in 10 national parliaments
(Germany, Belgium, Luxembourg, Finland, Italy, Ireland, Austria, Switzerland, Greece
and the Netherlands). In five countries the Greens are not represented in national
parliaments (France, Sweden, Spain, Great Britain, and Denmark). In all countries,
Green parties participated in two and more national elections. Generally, however,
the level of electoral support and parliamentary representation of Green parties is
relatively small. They can nearly be classified as small parties which have specific
roles and functions in European party systems: In several cases they hold "blackmail
potential" and act as "mobilizers of social and political conflicts"
(Müller-Rommel/Pridham 1990) (Table 1).
Table1__4._GREEN_PARTIES_ELECTORAL_SUCCESS:_A_TYPOLOGY'>Table1
4. GREEN PARTIES' ELECTORAL SUCCESS: A TYPOLOGY
There are several approaches measuring party success. Impact on
governmental policy could be considered as one crucial criterion. Alternatively, party
can be successful in affecting political issues and the tone of political life without
necessarily increasing its electoral support. In the traditional literature, the political
success of parties is commonly defined in numerical terms, i.e. by voter turnout
and/or legislative seats. We have limited our analysis to this definition assuming that
those parties which gain enough vote to be represented in national parliament have
some political influence on the national level of a political system.
A serious problem in applying a numerical definition is that of determining
cut-off points for electoral success. Knowing that such an exercise is always
essentially arbitrary, this analysis is based upon criteria which are (hopefully) both
reasonable and plausible.
First, all Green parties which are organized on national level of the political system
are included in the sample. In addition all Green parties have contested at least two
national elections in the past seven years.
Second, the average party vote was computed for the period of sixteen years. Parties
which have polled (on average) four percent or more of the national vote were
qualified as successful. A green party is unsuccessful if it falls below the four percent
threshold (Kitschelt 1989: 19). Table 2 shows that Green parties in seven countries
are labled as successful: in Belgium, Germany, Netherlands, Luxembourg,
Switzerland, France, and Austria.
Table2
Third, political success is defined by Green parties' concentration in a national
parliament measured by the proportion of "Green" seats in relation to the total seats
in national parliament. A Green party is defined successful if its degree of
concentration in national government is above three percent. Given this definition,
Green parties in seven countries can be labled as successful: in Belgium,
Luxembourg, Switzerland, Austria, Netherlands, and Finland.
In a further step, an index of electoral success is created which consists of the
Green parties' concentration in national parliament 1994 and their average electoral
results between 1978 and 1994. The index has produced three patterns of electoral
success:
- highly successful Green parties with more than three percent parliamentary
concentration and an average electoral result of more than four percent (Belgium,
Luxembourg, Switzerland, Austria),
-medium successful Green parties with either more than three percent
parliamentary concentration or an average electoral result of more than four percent
(Germany, Netherlands, France, Finland),
-unsuccessful Green parties with less than three percent parliamentary
concentration and less than four percent average electoral result (Italy, Sweden,
Great Britain, Ireland, Denmark, Spain, Greece).
5. GREEN PARTIES' POLITICAL RELEVANCE: A NEW CONFLICT DIMENSION
IN EUROPEAN PARTY SYSTEMS
It has been shown that the electoral success of Green parties varies
considerably across Western Europe. There are, of course, several explanations for
this development. Generally, it seems obvious that certain features of national
political systems provide likely explanatory variables. In Western Europe, we find, for
instance, growing and continuing disaffection of the voters with many established
parties; declining system performance in the context of the economic recession with
possible profound effects on party systems; evidence of party systems fragmentation
and electoral volatility in several countries; and the emergence of new political issues
opening the way for some restructuring of the political systems (see
Müller-RommelPoguntke 1994). Altogether, these features present a significantly
different situation compared with the postwar period and one of sufficient duration in
which Green parties might have unprecedented opportunities.
Comparative work on European party systems has debated -though other
inconclusively- the "unfreezing" of long-standing cleavages. Support for the
established parties is characterized by specific historically-rooted social milieu,
whereby the structure of social conflict within a nation produces long-term and
relatively stable political cleavages within the party system. Furthermore, the
determinants of electoral choice could be tracked back to basic social allegiances
such as class, religion or region traits. The end-result was largely a Left-Right pattern
of partisan alignment.
Yet the emergence of new value orientations in Western Europe together with
the foundation of Green parties has produced a new dimension of conflict. This is
because Green parties direct their protest which is based on new values against left
and right targets alike. As such, the Greens challenge the stability of the established
political constellation by adding a "new" conflict dimension to the traditional left-right
party system cleavage structure without breaking down the primary cleavage
structures.
Ronald Inglehart (1977) argues that the traditional Left-Right dimension no
longer adequately describes modem patterns of political conflict, because new
political issues can no longer be regarded as expressions of Left-Right conflicts
alone. The need to combat environmental pollution and to develop a peace policy is
not, at least overtly, questioned by either conservative or left-wing parties.
Inglehart shows that the "valence issues" of the new politics are better placed
on an establishment/anti-establishment scale than on a Left-Right one. Some
sections of the population sympathize with the peace movement, squatters and
social fringe groups. Others favour the police, the administrative bureaucracy; that is,
the established institutions of the state defending the existing social order. In this
context Inglehart holds that this new political dimension is partly an expression of the
emergence of a sizeable and active minority giving priority to post-material values.
In examining the electoral behaviour of this post-materialist minority, Ingle hart
found that these individuals heavily prefered left-wing parties. Initially this finding
appears to confirm the thesis that voters are still in the habit of attaching their political
ideas and demands to certain parties via terms like "Left" and "Righ". In a
comparative study, however, Inglehart and Klingemann (1976) showed that the
designation "Left" and "Right" have largely become stereotypes for specifying political
parties, and that the decision to vote for one of these parties is still closely connected
with a party identification shaped by class and religion. According to Inglehart, it is
precisely this inertia of established party loyalities and group formations which
prevents the post-materialist value structure from taking full effect on electoral choice.
Following the logic of this argument, the new dimension of conflict should
become more pronounced when Green parties with new politics issues enter the
competition for votes. Some studies on the Greens in single European countries
have shown that Green party voters are both highly interested and very active in
politics. They view governmental policy more critically than the average voter and
they are mostly without historically formed party identifications to one of the
established parties. The new dimension of conflict within European party systems
should, therefore, intensify when Green parties increase their electoral success.
6. GREEN PARTIES' PERSPECTIVE: THE POLITICAL BEHAVIOUR OF
ESTABLISHED PARTIES
It has already been argued that Green parties in Europe mobilize many
followers of new political movements by making it possible for them to find rational
expression for their views at the ballot box. Green parties thus serve as a political
vehicle for those movement supporters whose grievances have been ignored by the
larger established parties. Green parties also give assurance to their voters that they
are doing something on a parliamentary level about the causes of their discontent. By
making themselves the spokesperson of the discontented, Green parties, however,
additionally promote the process of change of party loyalities for older generations
and prepare the way for increasing volatility within the party system.
On the other hand, Green parties also affect political issues and the tone of
political life by bringing controversial matters into the public debate. If the issues
prove popular, they may well be adopted by one or more of the larger established
parties, as larger parties in Europe currently seek to adopt some environmental
issues first raised by Green parties. This leads to changes in the programms of major
European parties.
It seems to be evident that Green parties compete in the first glance with
larger socialist parties. Both party types are committed to changing the political
system. However, while socialist parties seek system change through reform policies
addressing the traditional conflict between capital and labour, the Green parties ask
for a fundamental rethinking of the economic growth theory.
This process particularly affects the larger socialist parties. In most European
countries, the Socialist's rank-and-file members as well as party elites split into two
groups: those with a traditional left-wing outlook who are concerned with the security
of the working class and economic stability (the Old Left), and those with a new
politics orientation who rather emphasize the quality of life, the nature of economy,
and the extent of democracy (New Left). The "New Left" in socialist parties stands in
competition with Green parties regarding the "new politics voter", while the "Old Left"
is still fighting along the old cleavage dimensions. The socialist parties are, therefore,
trapped between two cultures, although only a minority of the electorate is on the
new politics side. The majority in most Western European democracies stand in the
center of the political spectrum. Whatever the socialist parties might be able to gain
from the new left, they risk loosing from among the old left voters. Consequently, the
only viable strategy for the Socialists is to attempt some reconciliation of old politics
(in order to integrate the majority of the Socialist's voters) and a moderate version of
new politics (in order to attract Green parties voters). A radical realization of "new
politics issues" is beyond the reach of the socialist parties.
In functioning as promoters of new politics issues, however, Green parties
offer radical answers to radical questions concerning ecological problems, military
concerns, and the questions of democratic and civil rights. The success of Green
parties is nourished by radical issue positions that larger socialist and conservative
parties are not able to take fully into consideration. It thus seems theoretically cogent
and empirically substantiated to predict that Green parties are here to stay as long as
the political issues of new political movement followers remain on the political agenda
and are not adopted by any established party.
Table1
Table2
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