Lessons from the Southern African swfdp and Mozambique nms

• Lessons from the Southern African SWFDP and Mozambique NMS

• BY

• Moises Vicente Benessene

• Chair of Meteorological Association for Southern Africa -MASA

• Sustaining NMSs-Strengthening WMO Regional Global Centers

SADC Background

• SADC Background

• Status of regional Met institutions
• What is MASA?
• MASA Achievements
• Priority development needs of NMSs in SADC Region
• Critical Factors For Successful Implementation
• Resources requirements

• Lessons from the Southern African SWFDP in Mozambique

• Mozambique Vulnerability
• Role of INAM
• Lessons learned from the major floods in 2007 and 2013
• Conclusions

Weather and climate affects all economic sectors

• Weather and climate affects all economic sectors

• SADC is among global regions affected by severe impacts of climate variability and change

• Hydro-Meteorological Disasters impacts likely to increase in frequency and severity in SADC (IPCC-AR4)

• SADC Meteorological Master plan and MASA Strategy addresses challenges of demand for timely and quality services :

• facilitating regional cooperation,
• strengthening national capacities and
• ensuring compliance with international commitments

SADC Climate Services Centre: Services are constrained due to:

• SADC Climate Services Centre: Services are constrained due to:

• Insufficient personnel; and
• Inadequate infrastructure (Office &Equipment).

• Regional Instruments Calibration Centre : not fully operational due to:

• Aged calibration tools; and
• Inadequate trained personnel.
• Regional Met Training Centres in Angola and RSA (new) : don’t meet demand largely due to:
• Inadequate trained personnel; and
• Inadequate infrastructure ( office & equipment)

Priority order

• Priority order

• Observing Networks

• Data management

• Meteorologist training/NWP

• Instruments calibration

• Climate Modeling

• DPFS

• Telecoms

• Products generation

• Aviation Met

• Air quality

Success will depend, among others, on:

• Success will depend, among others, on:

• Availability of resources both financial and human;
• Member States and SADC give the sector high priority in their respective plans;
• Development partners/stakeholders be supportive in relevant projects/activities;
• NMSs and regional institutions fulfilling their respective mandates; and
• Collaboration of SADC, the WMO and the MASA is considered critical for the success.

2006 to 2007 - Botswana, Madagascar, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe (5 countries).

• 2006 to 2007 - Botswana, Madagascar, Mozambique, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe (5 countries).

• 2008 to 2013 - Angola, Botswana, Comoros, DRC, Lesotho, Madagascar, Malawi, Mauritius, Mozambique, Namibia, Seychelles, South Africa, Swaziland, Tanzania, Zambia and Zimbabwe (16 countries and 8 of them the LDCs).

• • RSMC Pretoria

• MASA made a modest contribution to co-fund the 2012 SWFDP-SA Capacity Building Workshop

• MASA will be exhibiting in the upcoming High Level Investors Conference to be held in Maputo, Mozambique (In attendance 3 African Heads of States and 28 Ministers)- Early Warnings Systems (SWFDP)

The model guidance correctly

• The model guidance correctly

• indicated landfall 5 days in advance

• where, and movement towards Zimbabwe

• Mozambique NMSs in coordination with INGC and DNA issued warnings 5 days in advance:

• 2007:

• Provinces were put on alert levels, 2 to 3 days in advance
• The public responded well and major loss of lives were prevented – though 9 people died;

• 2013:

• Public received early warnings by Local DRM committees, radio, TV, newspapers 5 days in advance
• BUT… the public did not react until the last time – more than 100 people died (attributed to slow reaction by Disaster Management)

Observing network and telecommunication system

• Observing network and telecommunication system

• Use of NWP products in graphical format (Visualization tool)

• Reliable internet service

• Training opportunity for all forecasters (roving and/or training desk)

• Nowcasting (e.g. severe thunderstorm), in order to avoid case like last rainy season where 39 of 117 deaths were caused by lightning stroke

• Improvement of awareness campaign (drill excise) before rainy season

• Strengthen the interaction with media

• Continuous learning and capacity building by forecasters at national level;

• Verification of warnings and forecast

Priority order

• Priority order

• Observing Networks

• Data management

• Meteorologist training/NWP

• Instruments calibration

• Climate Modeling

• DPFS

• Telecoms

• Products generation

• Aviation Met

• Air quality