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The Wealth of Nations
own so tedious and expensive education, but of that of more than
twenty others, who are never likely to make any thing by it. How
extravagant soever the fees of counsellors at law may sometimes
appear, their real retribution is never equal to this. Compute, in
any particular place, what is likely to be annually gained, and what
is likely to be annually spent, by all the different workmen in any
common trade, such as that of shoemakers or weavers, and you
will find that the former sum will generally exceed the latter. But
make the same computation with regard to all the counsellors and
students of law, in all the different Inns of Court, and you will
find that their annual gains bear but a very small proportion to
their annual expense, even though you rate the former as high,
and the latter as low, as can well be done. The lottery of the law,
therefore, is very far from being a perfectly fair lottery; and that as
well as many other liberal and honourable professions, is, in point
of pecuniary gain, evidently under-recompensed.
Those professions keep their level, however, with other occupa-
tions; and, notwithstanding these discouragements, all the most
generous and liberal spirits are eager to crowd into them. Two
different causes contribute to recommend them. First, the desire
of the reputation which attends upon superior excellence in any
of them; and, secondly, the natural confidence which every man
has, more or less, not only in his own abilities, but in his own
good fortune.
To excel in any profession, in which but few arrive at medioc-
rity, it is the most decisive mark of what is called genius, or supe-
rior talents. The public admiration which attends upon such dis-
tinguished abilities makes always a part of their reward; a greater
or smaller, in proportion as it is higher or lower in degree. It makes
a considerable part of that reward in the profession of physic; a
still greater, perhaps, in that of law; in poetry and philosophy it
makes almost the whole.
There are some very agreeable and beautiful talents, of which
the possession commands a certain sort of admiration, but of which
the exercise, for the sake of gain, is considered, whether from rea-
son or prejudice, as a sort of public prostitution. The pecuniary
recompence, therefore, of those who exercise them in this man-
ner, must be sufficient, not only to pay for the time, labour, and
expense of acquiring the talents, but for the discredit which at-
tends the employment of them as the means of subsistence. The
exorbitant rewards of players, opera-singers, opera-dancers, etc.
are founded upon those two principles; the rarity and beauty of
the talents, and the discredit of employing them in this manner. It
seems absurd at first sight, that we should despise their persons,
and yet reward their talents with the most profuse liberality. While
we do the one, however, we must of necessity do the other, Should
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Adam Smith
the public opinion or prejudice ever alter with regard to such oc-
cupations, their pecuniary recompence would quickly diminish.
More people would apply to them, and the competition would
quickly reduce the price of their labour. Such talents, though far
from being common, are by no means so rare as imagined. Many
people possess them in great perfection, who disdain to make this
use of them; and many more are capable of acquiring them, if any
thing could be made honourably by them.
The over-weening conceit which the greater part of men have of
their own abilities, is an ancient evil remarked by the philosophers
and moralists of all ages. Their absurd presumption in their own
good fortune has been less taken notice of. It is, however, if pos-
sible, still more universal. There is no man living, who, when in
tolerable health and spirits, has not some share of it. The chance
of gain is by every man more or less over-valued, and the chance
of loss is by most men under-valued, and by scarce any man, who
is in tolerable health and spirits, valued more than it is worth.
That the chance of gain is naturally overvalued, we may learn
from the universal success of lotteries. The world neither ever saw,
nor ever will see, a perfectly fair lottery, or one in which the whole
gain compensated the whole loss; because the undertaker could
make nothing by it. In the state lotteries, the tickets are really not
worth the price which is paid by the original subscribers, and yet
commonly sell in the market for twenty, thirty, and sometimes
forty per cent. advance. The vain hopes of gaining some of the
great prizes is the sole cause of this demand. The soberest people
scarce look upon it as a folly to pay a small sum for the chance of
gaining ten or twenty thousand pounds, though they know that
even that small sum is perhaps twenty or thirty per cent. more
than the chance is worth. In a lottery in which no prize exceeded
twenty pounds, though in other respects it approached much nearer
to a perfectly fair one than the common state lotteries, there would
not be the same demand for tickets. In order to have a better
chance for some of the great prizes, some people purchase several
tickets; and others, small shares in a still greater number. There is
not, however, a more certain proposition in mathematics, than
that the more tickets you adventure upon, the more likely you are
to be a loser. Adventure upon all the tickets in the lottery, and you
lose for certain; and the greater the number of your tickets, the
nearer you approach to this certainty.
That the chance of loss is frequently undervalued, and scarce
ever valued more than it is worth, we may learn from the very
moderate profit of insurers. In order to make insurance, either
from fire or sea-risk, a trade at all, the common premium must be
sufficient to compensate the common losses, to pay the expense
of management, and to afford such a profit as might have been