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Industrial Development for the 21st Century
ize in the production of commodities in which
they have a comparative
advantage. In labour-abundant countries, trade liberalization would tend to
shift production from capital-intensive import substitutes towards labour-
intensive exportables. Due to this change, domestic inequality in those coun-
tries is expected to decline because of the increased demand for labour,
whereas inequality would increase in countries
with an abundant endow-
ment of capital. Liberalization of foreign direct investment can also decrease
inequality in capital-importing countries, but that depends in part on the
degree of skill-bias of technologies employed by foreign invested firms.
In several countries, trade and investment liberalization has, indeed,
decreased absolute poverty and sometimes also inequality. Bourguignon and
Morrison (1990), for example, analyze the determinants of inequality in 35
developing countries and conclude that the phased
removal of trade protec-
tion in manufacturing reduces the income of the richest 20 per cent of the
population and increases the income of the poorest 60 per cent. Dollar and
Kraay (2004), who examined impacts of increased trade on growth and
inequality, found changes in growth rates to be highly correlated with
changes in trade volumes. No systematic relationship between changes in
trade volumes and changes in household income inequality was found, and
they conclude that on average greater globalization
is a force for poverty
reduction. Still, the impact of trade liberalization is likely to vary between
countries, depending for instance on factor endowments, and liberalization
creates both winners and losers. Similarly to international trade, the impact
of foreign direct investments on income inequality is likely to vary between
countries. Any foreign direct investment (FDI)-inequality
relation depends
e.g. on the sectoral composition of FDI, its impact on demand for unskilled
workers, the skill bias of technical change induced through FDI, and the
regional distribution of FDI (see e.g. Cornia, 2005).
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