Finance
048
Apr. 2015
Asian growth and integration
The economic rise of Asia during the last
five decades is one of the biggest growth
stories in history. In 1950, China, India and
the ASEAN economies accounted for 15
percent of global GDP. By 2000, that share
had doubled to 30 percent. Asia will con-
tinue to be the most buoyant region in the
world in the decades ahead. By 2030, the
Asian Development Bank has projected that
China, India and the ASEAN economies will
together make up nearly 40 percent of global
GDP and their combined economic weight in
purchasing power
parity terms could exceed
that of the U.S. plus Europe.
A key driver as well as consequence of
Asia’s economic growth is the rise of the mid-
dle class. The Asian middle class is projected
to surge six fold from 500 million in 2010,
to 3 billion by 2030. The rapid expansion
of the middle class, coupled with ongoing
urbanization, will drive consumption and
investment throughout the region. It will
transform Asian societies and accelerate the
accumulation of wealth.
Rising affluence will increase the demand
for financial services. As household income
increases
and wealth accumulates in Asia,
the demand for financial services – such
as insurance and asset management – will
grow significantly. By 2020, assets under
management in Asia is expected to expand
by 60 percent to reach US$176 trillion. The
region is also projected to account for almost
40 percent of the global insurance market.
ASEAN’s economic importance will grow.
With a population of over 600 million and
0417
By
Ravi Menon
Asian Integration,
Offshore Renminbi,
and Infrastructure
Finance
The increasing integration between China and
ASEAN coupled
with the growing importance
of financial services in Asia has underpinned two
important trends in Singapore’s financial center:
the growth of the offshore Renminbi market and
the development of infrastructure financing.
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combined GDP of US$2.4 trillion, ASEAN is
a market of enormous potential. With rising
affluence, consumer demand is projected
to grow strongly, expanding regional and
international linkages and spurring market
reforms.
Over the years, ASEAN member
states have been progressively integrating
their markets by eliminating trade barri-
ers for goods and services and increasing
capital mobility. This year, in 2015, ASEAN
member states will be making a significant
advance towards the realization of a single
market with the establishment of the ASE-
AN Economic Community (AEC).
ASEAN is also set to become China’s
largest trading partner. The launch of the
ASEAN-China free trade area in 2010 has
catalyzed bilateral trade by more than 50
percent, from US$293 billion in 2010 to
US$444 billion in 2013. As a trusted and
dynamic business and financial centre, Sin-
gapore is an efficient conduit to facilitate
these trade and investment flows as well as
a natural gateway
for international investors
to access ASEAN.
The increasing integration between China
and ASEAN coupled with the growing im-
portance of financial services in Asia has in
turn underpinned two important trends in
Singapore’s financial center: the growth of
the offshore Renminbi (RMB) market and
the development of infrastructure financing.
Singapore as an offshore RMB center
Reflecting China’s growing economic and
trading heft, the RMB is poised to become
an increasingly important currency in Asia.
The RMB is already the fifth largest global
payments currency and it will take on a
larger international
role as more multi-
national companies and Asian corporates
use the RMB for their trade with Chinese
enterprises.
Singapore can play a catalytic role to
broaden the international use of the RMB.
As the largest foreign exchange market and
a leading trade and commodity trading hub
in Asia, Singapore serves to facilitate the
use of the RMB for trade, hedging and cash
management amongst corporates in the re-
gion. Singapore’s
liquid and vibrant capital
markets as well as strong asset and wealth
management capabilities can spur the de-
velopment of innovative RMB-denominated
products. Singapore’s exchanges can also
promote greater trading liquidity of Chinese
securities and derivatives to international
investors through cross-listings.
Today, Singapore is the largest offshore
RMB hub after Hong Kong and offers an
expanded
range of RMB-denominated
products. RMB deposits grew more than 40
percent year-on-year to RMB 277 billion in
Dec 2014, while average daily RMB foreign
exchange turnover grew more than two
times to US$76 billion in the same period.
Outstanding RMB-denominated bonds
issued, also known as “Lion-City” bonds,
exceeded RMB 35 billion in 2014. The Singa-
pore Exchange also launched RMB foreign
exchange futures contracts in October 2014,
providing a wider selection of hedging in-
struments and broadening the suite of pan-
Asian exchange-traded products available in
Singapore. Given the strong
growth of RMB
Ravi Menon
Managing Director, Monetary Authority of
Singapore
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