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SECTION III – INTRODUCTION
The Industry information presented in this section has been extracted from Company sources, publicly
available documents from various sources, including officially prepared materials and has not been
prepared or independently verified by the Issuer or the Lead Manager.
(A)
SUMMARY
(I) Industry Summary
The Indian Economy
India is the world’s largest democracy by population size of 1,145 million as on June 12, 2009 according to
India’s National Commission. (Source: -
http://populationcommission.nic.in/
). India had an estimated Gross
Domestic Product (“GDP”) on a purchasing power parity basis of approximately US$ 3.57 trillion in 2009,
making it the fifth largest economy in the world after the European Union, United States of America, China and
Japan. (Source: CIA World Fact book)
However, despite the global economic decline in the fiscal year 2008, India is showing positive signs of
recovery following the global economic downturn. Based on the Economic Outlook for fiscal 2010 by the
Economic Advisory Council to the Prime Minister, the Indian Economy may grow by about 7.2% in the fiscal
year 2010, is expected to grow at 8.5 per cent y-o-y for the year ended March 2011 and return to a 9% growth
rate in the next two years. The world GDP growth rate for 2010 is estimated at 4.0% according to the World
Economic Outlook, January 2010 published by IMF.
Fiscal 2010-11 started off on a good note for Corporate India. Industrial production grew by an impressive 17.6
per cent in April 2010. It is projected to grow by 9.2 per cent in 2010-11. This growth is expected to be broad-
based, with food products, beverages, tobacco, non-metallic minerals, machinery and the transport equipments
sector likely to report over 10 per cent rise in production. (Source: CMIE).
Growth during the remainder of 2009-2010 is expected to benefit from the impact of the government policy
stimulus, a recovery in industrial production and the core infrastructure sector, an upturn in business confidence,
a recovery in the stock market, the return of capital inflows and the improving outlook for the global economy
in general, which could boost consumer and investor confidence in India. At the same time, growth may be
impeded by the unexpectedly large deceleration in private consumption demand and some decline in corporate
sales during the first quarter of 2009-2010, the sustained deceleration in credit growth and a decline in exports
(Source: RBI, Macroeconomic and Monetary Developments, Second Quarter Review, 2009-2010). Despite the
deceleration in growth described above, according to the International Monetary Fund (the “IMF”), India
continues to be one of the fastest growing countries in the world. (Source: - IMF, World Economic Outlook,
October 2009
)
Indian Real Estate Sector
Indian real estate sector plays a significant role in the country’s economy. This sector is second only to
agriculture in terms of employment generation and contributes heavily towards the GDP. The size is estimated
at US$ 16 billion, growing at the rate of 30% per annum. Total size of the industry in terms of economic value
of development activity is estimated at US$ 40-45 billion representing about 5% of India’s GDP. In the next
five years, this contribution to the GDP is expected to rise to 6 per cent. The real estate sector is expected to
reach a size of US$ 180 billion by 2020.
India’s lack of dependence on foreign demand from consumers has been the key advantage for this country as it
has managed to avoid the severe recession that has hit most other Asian countries.
According to the report of the Technical Group on Estimation of Housing Shortage, an estimated shortage of
26.53 million houses during the Eleventh Five Year Plan (2007-12) provides a big investment opportunity.
Growing penetration of mortgage finance into the urban housing finance market is now evident. The real estate
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sector is one of the highest foreign direct investment (FDI) attracting sectors in India, having recorded FDI
inflows worth more than 2.8 billion between 2000 and 2009. FDI in the real estate sector is expected to witness
an increase of US$ 21 billion from the current values over the next 10 years.
Net sales of the real estate industry shot up by 78.3% in the June 2010 quarter. The PBDIT of the industry grew
by a robust 72.3%. The growth in PAT was even better at 119%. Almost 80% of real estate developed in India
is residential space, the rest comprising of offices, shopping malls, hotels and hospitals. (Source:
www.ibef.org
).
Real Estate Sector in Mumbai
Mumbai City
Mumbai is the capital city of Maharashtra and has a population of 18.9 million (per the 2001 census) and is
projected to increase to 22.4 million by 2011. Mumbai is the capital city of the state and is also the commercial,
entertainment and fashion capital of India. Mumbai is made up of seven connected small islands and the
suburban area of Salsette Island. It is well-connected by air, road and rail to other major cities in India. The
Mumbai Metropolitan Region covering the city, the surrounding suburbs and municipal councils, has a
population of 18.9 million. Mumbai has witnessed an increase in its population in the island city as well as the
surrounding municipal corporations of Thane, Navi Mumbai and Bhiwandi-Nizampur that form part of the
larger agglomeration, the Mumbai Metropolitan Region. The rapid growth in population has led to a shortage of
housing and informal and poor quality housing. (Source: Official website of Mumbai Metropolitan Region
Development Authority-
http://www.mmrdamumbai.orgf
)
The Island City
Mumbai’s micro-market can be divided into two sub-markets i.e. South Mumbai which includes locations like
Malabar Hill, Carmichael Road, Napeansea Road, Cuffe Parade, Colaba and Altamount Road and Central
Mumbai
locations like Lower Parel, Worli, Prabhadevi and Mahalaxmi. South Mumbai locations are
considered to be the prime markets. There is virtually no space for large scale developments in South Mumbai.
Infrastructure
Planned and ongoing infrastructure development is also growing in the Mumbai Metropolitan Region along
with the population and industrial growth. Some examples of ongoing infrastructure development are outlined
below:
Metro Rail project: The proposed 146.5 km long corridor is expected to provide proper interchange
facilities for neighboring areas like Thane, Navi Mumbai, Vasai as well and east to west connectivity for the
city. (Source: Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority)
Chhatrapati Shivaji International Airport modernization: The modernization of Mumbai’s largest airport is
underway.
Monorail: A 20 km long monorail is intended to support public transportation in areas with low road and
rail connectivity. (Source: Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority)
Skywalks: The current plan is to construct 50 skywalks throughout the city to alleviate pedestrian
congestion on the roads. (Source: Mumbai Metropolitan Region Development Authority)
The Indian real estate sector promises to be a lucrative destination for foreign investors into the country. The
Indian realty sector, if channelized properly, could catapult the growth of several other sectors in India through
its backward and forward linkages. However, there are potential constraints for domestic as well as foreign
investments in India. Absence of a single regulator to monitor business practices prevailing in Indian real estate
market is perceived to be a risk factor by investors. The SEZ guidelines which are issued by the Ministry of
Commerce are constantly modified, creating uncertainty. Since the liberalization of FDI norms, significant
foreign investments have flown into real estate; but availability of suitable exit options for such investments is
still constrained.
Maturity of the real estate markets will lead to infusion of foreign investment and adoption of international best
practices by real estate players. Developers will get more organized, and become more transparent to avail
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