Naval postgraduate school monterey, california thesis

VI.
GAME THEORY AND THE HOSTAGE RESCUE..............................................97
A.
INTRODUCTION..........................................................................................97
1.
Problem Defined.................................................................................98
2.
Background ........................................................................................98
B.
CASE STUDY ..............................................................................................100
C.
VARIABLES ................................................................................................100
D.
ASSUMPTIONS...........................................................................................102
1.
Rescue Force.....................................................................................102
2.
Terrorists ..........................................................................................102
E.
ANALYSIS ...................................................................................................104
F.
STRATEGIC MOVES IN THE HOSTAGE DILEMMA .......................106
1.
Sensitivity Analysis of the Hostage Dilemma ................................107
a.
Threat ....................................................................................107
b.
Promise ..................................................................................107
2.
Interpretations..................................................................................112

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VII.