8
Different trial conditions yield different fractions of subjects who go the full way.
10
and refuses to give any more answers at 300 volts, more than 60 percent of subjects went all the
way.
8
Subjects’ motivation to do what they think should be done in the Milgram experiment is
not just a curious example from the laboratory. Milgram’s motivation for the experiment was to
examine the psychology of those responsible for the Holocaust. The experiment and the reality
correspond. Ordinary Men (Browning, 1992) shows the detailed history of the anti-Jewish
rampage of one police SS unit in Poland. Like Milgram’s subjects the members of this unit were
just ordinary people, recruited from the most ordinary walks of life. They conceived that their
duty as recruits was to obey. Surprisingly, they needed almost no persuasion to pursue their
orders, even for the grizzliest tasks. In their first village round-up and massacre, they were even
given the opportunity to opt out with no questions asked. None did.
The Milgram experiment, and its counterpart in the Holocaust reality, are examples in
extremis of the motivation that is missing from the five neutralities. The utility functions used in
derivation of those neutralities fail to take into account people’s wide range of views regarding
how they think that they, and others, should or should not behave.
Framing and Norms
While the presence of norms in this form has been notably absent from economics, there
is one prominent line of thinking that can be naturally interpreted in this fashion. Daniel
Kahneman and Amos Tversky (1979) have interpreted experimental results of people’s
unwillingness to take favorable odds in small bets as due to loss aversion. They represent loss
9
Calibrations by Rabin (2000) suggest that such loss aversion is needed to explain experimental subjects’
risk aversion with relatively small stakes. With life-time incomes in the millions of dollars for the typical subject it
is hard to explain such risk aversion with a globally concave utility function.
10
Our interpretation of the Kahneman-Tversky results is consistent with experimental results obtained by
John List (2003) regarding the trading of sports cards. List found that amateurs exhibit loss aversion, but dealers do
not. Of course such a difference is exactly what would be expected with our interpretation of loss aversion as due to
norms, if dealers think they “should” trade if they can make a profit, but amateurs view the cards they own as part of
a “collection,” which “should not” be traded.
11
Some years ago, at a conference in Spoleto, Italy, Edmund Phelps gave a still unpublished lecture
wondering why the economics of the 20
th
Century had failed to discover what was central to most of the arts, which
was the role of subjectivity. This paper is about the direct relevance of such subjectivity for macroeconomics. I
have very much benefitted from enjoyable conversations with Professor Phelps. He has summarized for me the
content of that talk in an email.
11
aversion mathematically with utility functions that are convex (rather than concave) for losses.
Kahneman and Tversky say that people have a mental frame, which makes them reluctant to take
losses. But there is another way to interpret both the aversion to these gambles and Kahneman
and Tversky’s utility-representation of it. In this interpretation people have a norm which says
that they should not take losses.
9
Accordingly, they lose utility if they make them.
10
In this
interpretation, the findings of Kahneman and Tversky are very real, but they are revealing of a
phenomenon much more general than loss aversion. In this interpretation people have a view of
how they should behave. Insofar as they fail to behave that way they will lose utility.
Prospect theory, and also the Milgram experiment with the interpretation we gave of it,
serve another useful purpose. They illustrate that there is no necessary conflict between
sociological norm-based approach to preferences and much recent work in behavioral
economics, which, for the most part, has interpreted departures from standard utility-
maximization in terms of mental frames (and cognitions) rather than in terms of preferences.
The two types of interpretations can be interchangeable: for example when the cognitive biases
conform to subjects’ views of how the world should or should not be.
We now turn to applying the role of norms to each of the five neutralities.
11
In each case
12
It is useful to make an explicit disclaimer, although it should be obvious. For each of the five neutralities
we see that the inclusion of broader preferences, inclusive of norms, will bring Keynesian behaviors back to life.
But, of course, that does not mean that the competitive forces and the maximizing behaviors responsible for the five
neutralities are not important, as well.
13
That appreciation is of course due to Barro (1974).
14
This model is quite close to Ricardo’s original discussion. It is a considerable simplification of Barro’s
model. His model had a sequence of overlapping generations, each of which lived for two periods. Barro’s
contribution was not only to show Ricardian equivalence in the two-generation model, but also its extension to a
sequence of generations when parents’ utility only depended on their own utility and the utility of their own children.
Ricardo’s discussion, which is close to the two-generation model here, was then subsequently rediscovered. There is
no uncertainty and all taxes are lump-sum. This proposition may be generalized, for example, following Barro to a
model with m overlapping generations each of which have different consumption when young and old. Each parent
derives utility from his own consumption and the utility of his child.
12
we shall ask whether people’s views as to how they should behave might not change the utility
function. In each case we shall see that such views will nullify the respective neutrality result.
Indeed, we shall see that in each and every case there will be a natural norm consistent with the
early Keynesians’ views of economic behavior.
12
IV. Ricardian Equivalence
We shall begin our detailed discussion with Ricardian equivalence. Since it is the
simplest of the five, it is also the best place to begin—although it was chronologically the last of
the neutralities to be appreciated by modern economists.
13
If there is missing motivation in the
utility function, it should be easiest to see here.
A very simple model demonstrates the essence of Ricardian equivalence.
14
There are just
two periods, periods 1 and 2. There are just two people, a parent and her child. The utility of the
parent depends directly upon her own consumption, in period 1; it also depends upon the utility
of her child. That utility depends upon his consumption, in period 2.
The parent’s utility function can be expressed simply as U
1
(c
1
, U
2
(c
2
)), where c
1
is the
consumption of the parent, c
2
is the consumption of the child, U
1
is the utility of the parent, and
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