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![](/i/favi32.png) Universiteti xabarnomasi13-6-PBLiterature review.
E. Wesley and F. Peterson in their research on
"The Role of Population in Economic Development" state that: "Low
population growth in high-income countries can cause social and
economic problems, and high population growth in low-income
countries "growth can slow down their development."
Many analysts believe that economic growth in high-income
countries may be relatively slow in the coming years, in part because
population growth in these countries will slow significantly (Baker,
Delong, & Krugman, 2005). In others, population growth has been and
will continue to be problematic because more people inevitably use
more of the Earth's limited resources, thereby reducing long-term
potential growth (Linden, 2017).
In general, according to scientists, population growth affects many
phenomena, such as the age structure of the country's population,
international migration, economic inequality, and the size of the
country's labor force.
Piketty (2014) develops a series of economic relationships to
describe the workings of a capitalist economic system and traces the
impact of these relationships on changes in economic inequality. The
relationship between economic growth and the rate of return on capital
is central to his analysis. He argues that when the rate of return on
capital (
ρ
) is higher than the rate of economic growth (
γ
) (
ρ
>
γ
), the
likely result is the concentration of capital ownership, leading to
increased inequality. According to him, economic growth is likely to be
relatively slow in the future, which is less than the rate of return on
capital, because its demographic component is expected to grow very
little.
If population growth and per capita GDP growth were completely
independent, higher population growth rates would have led to higher
net economic growth rates, Piketty (2014) points out. "It would be true
that the growth of GDP per capita would lead to improvement of
economic well-being. On the other hand, if population growth affects
output growth per capita, then higher population growth rates will
affect overall economic growth by the nature of the impact on GDP per
capita. helps the swelling to be high or low”.
Thomas Malthus (1798) developed one of the earliest and most
famous theories showing that population growth harms welfare.
According to him, the population tends to grow faster than the food
supply, so depopulation due to poverty of various kinds always requires
keeping the number of people in proportion to the amount of food
available. The implication of the Malthusian model is those average
incomes are always reduced by population growth to a level that is
sufficient for the population to live.
The main purpose of Malthus' work was to argue against the
English Poor Laws. He argues that trying to improve the welfare of the
poor is an exercise in futility because higher incomes lead to population
growth, which leads to diminishing returns.
Yoo (1994) develops three models to examine the effects of
population growth on US economic development. He argues that the
large increase in the number of children has slowed economic growth,
as resources have been diverted from more productive activities for this
large group to education and health. As the baby boom generation
transitioned from a dependency phase to a more productive phase of
active workers and savings, living standards improved, and even as baby
boomers exited the labor force, his models showed that the decline in
savings had little impact on the economy. indicates that it does not.
prosperity.
Bloom and Canning (2004) also show a positive effect on economic
growth as baby boom cohorts join the labor force and save for
retirement. Most of these authors emphasize the importance of age
structure for economic development. High population growth rates
mean that the average age of the population will be young and the
dependency ratio will be high.
Nicole Maestas, Kathleen J. Mullen, and David Powell (California
2016) work on The Economic Impact of Population Aging: Labor Force
and Productivity. The aging of the US population harms its economic
growth, based on statistical data from 1980-2010, and estimates until
2050 are presented. It begins with the observation that many US states
have already experienced significant growth in their elderly population
and that much of this growth is predicated on historical fertility trends.
Projected changes in the rate of population aging across US states
between 1980 and 2010 were used to estimate the economic impact of
aging on state output per capita. They found that a 10% increase in the
share of the population over 60 years old reduces the growth rate of
GDP per capita by 5.5%. Two-thirds of the reduction is due to slower
growth in labor productivity across the age distribution of workers, and
one-third is due to slower growth in the labor force. The results of this
scientific work show that the annual growth of the gross domestic
product will slow down by 1.2% in this decade and by 0.6% in the next
decade due to the aging of the population.
Stefan Klasen, Professor of the Faculty of Economics, University of
Göttingen,
and Lawson David, Professor, University of Manchester
(2007) conducted a research study entitled "Impact of Population
Growth on Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction in Uganda". They
examine the relationship between per capita economic growth and
poverty, using interesting examples from Uganda. This article states,
"Although Uganda has recently experienced excellent economic growth
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