China, Europe and the Netherlands: Opportunity Is Knocking at Our Doors



Yüklə 19,38 Mb.
Pdf görüntüsü
səhifə17/42
tarix12.08.2018
ölçüsü19,38 Mb.
#62381
1   ...   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   ...   42

038 
  Apr. 2015
for Euro-area creditors are still feasible. In fact, the 
average maturity could be extended beyond the current 
30 years. Also, the lending rate on the European loans 
could be reduced even further. All of this would not 
translate into more money for Greece to spend right 
now, but it would greatly improve the sustainability of 
the debt burden further. 
Likely financial and economic disruption
An exit of Greece from the euro would cause exten-
sive financial and economic disruption, with significant 
negative impacts on its domestic economy, prompting 
bank runs and capital flights from Greece. Capital con-
trols would have to be enacted, which could not then 
be lifted easily, as shown in the case of Cyprus. A newly 
issued Greek currency would collapse in value, leading 
to high inflation and at the same time forcing banks 
and businesses with large foreign currency debts into 
bankruptcy. Furthermore, Greece would be cut out of 
the market for a certain time and borrowing costs for 
Greek businesses and society would skyrocket, con-
tributing even further to another recessionary develop-
ment. 
Compared to 2012, the risk of financial contagion 
to other euro area countries is less acute, with the ECB 
now acting as lender of last resort, a healthier financial 
system and a new European governance structure set 
in place. However, a likely massive depreciation of a 
new Greek currency, followed by a potential default of 
Greek banks and non-banks would endanger private 
sector claims on Greece from all over the Euro area, 
on top of the official losses, which would have to be ac-
counted for. Also, the long-term political effects of the 
irreversibility of the Euro should not be underestimat-
ed. This would mean that the euro area has failed to 
establish the tools necessary to guarantee the survival 
of its weakest members. 
To conclude,  an exit is unlikely to help the Greek 
economy much, as exports do not react considerably 
to changes in wage costs due to the sclerotic economy. 
Instead, it is in the interest of both Greece and its eu-
ro-area partners to find a comprehensive agreement 
that would avoid default and exit.
Sources: AMECO Autumn 2014 Forecast and Eurostat’s quarterly national accounts dataset. 
Note: Nominal change in exports is given as % of 2014 GDP. Nominal change in wages calculated as nominal % change between Q4 2007 
and Q1 2014.
45
40
35
30
25
20
15
10
5
0
-
5
-20 
-15 
-10 
-5 


10 
15 
20 
25 
30 
35
Greece
Estonia
Ireland
Latvia
Netherlands
Belgium
Portugal
Slovenia
Spain
Germany
Austria
France
Italy
Finland
Lithuania
Slovakia
Guntram B. Wolff
Director of Bruegel
Nominal change in wages 2007-2014
JOIN A WORLD LEADING RESEARCH UNIVERSITY 
NETWORK, TACKLING GLOBAL CHALLENGES  
THROUGH INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION.
WUN is a global network driving international research collaboration and 
developing research talent. Our membership spans 16 universities from  
10 countries on 5 continents. The WUN Global China Group includes our  
program on the two way understanding of China.
BENEFITS OF MEMBERSHIP
Research Collaboration
 
We foster over 100 active research programs, 
engage over 2,000 researchers and students, and work with government, 
international agencies and industry to find solutions to some of the world’s most 
significant challenges. Our research is focussed on four Global Challenges: 
Responding to Climate Change, Public Health (Non-communicable Disease), 
Global Higher Education and Research, and Understanding Cultures.
Research Mobility
 Our Research Mobility Programme (RMP) provides 
opportunities for postgraduate students and early career researchers from member 
universities to spend periods of up to three months at a partner university. 
Research Funding
 Our Research Development Fund (RDF) provides seed 
funding to support bright researchers with great ideas to develop their concept 
and form international research teams that can subsequently seek long-term 
funding from external funding agencies.
Strategic Conferences and Workshops
 Throughout the year, WUN 
hosts conferences, workshops, seminars and events that bring an international 
community of researchers together to share ideas, spark collaboration and further 
our ground-breaking research. These events partner with leading universities, 
academic societies, international organisations, foundations and governments to 
ensure our research has relevance and impact.
For more information visit 
www.wun.ac.uk
Worldwide Universities Network
JOIN A WORLD LEADING RESEARCH UNIVERSITY 
NETWORK, TACKLING GLOBAL CHALLENGES  
THROUGH INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION.
WUN is a global network driving international research collaboration and 
developing research talent. Our membership spans 16 universities from  
10 countries on 5 continents. The WUN Global China Group includes our  
program on the two way understanding of China.
BENEFITS OF MEMBERSHIP
Research Collaboration
 
We foster over 100 active research programs, 
engage over 2,000 researchers and students, and work with government, 
international agencies and industry to find solutions to some of the world’s most 
significant challenges. Our research is focussed on four Global Challenges: 
Responding to Climate Change, Public Health (Non-communicable Disease), 
Global Higher Education and Research, and Understanding Cultures.
Research Mobility
 Our Research Mobility Programme (RMP) provides 
opportunities for postgraduate students and early career researchers from member 
universities to spend periods of up to three months at a partner university. 
Research Funding
 Our Research Development Fund (RDF) provides seed 
funding to support bright researchers with great ideas to develop their concept 
and form international research teams that can subsequently seek long-term 
funding from external funding agencies.
Strategic Conferences and Workshops
 Throughout the year, WUN 
hosts conferences, workshops, seminars and events that bring an international 
community of researchers together to share ideas, spark collaboration and further 
our ground-breaking research. These events partner with leading universities, 
academic societies, international organisations, foundations and governments to 
ensure our research has relevance and impact.
For more information visit 
www.wun.ac.uk
Worldwide Universities Network
JOIN A WORLD LEADING RESEARCH UNIVERSITY 
NETWORK, TACKLING GLOBAL CHALLENGES  
THROUGH INTERNATIONAL COLLABORATION.
WUN is a global network driving international research collaboration and 
developing research talent. Our membership spans 16 universities from  
10 countries on 5 continents. The WUN Global China Group includes our  
program on the two way understanding of China.
BENEFITS OF MEMBERSHIP
Research Collaboration
 
We foster over 100 active research programs, 
engage over 2,000 researchers and students, and work with government, 
international agencies and industry to find solutions to some of the world’s most 
significant challenges. Our research is focussed on four Global Challenges: 
Responding to Climate Change, Public Health (Non-communicable Disease), 
Global Higher Education and Research, and Understanding Cultures.
Research Mobility
 Our Research Mobility Programme (RMP) provides 
opportunities for postgraduate students and early career researchers from member 
universities to spend periods of up to three months at a partner university. 
Research Funding
 Our Research Development Fund (RDF) provides seed 
funding to support bright researchers with great ideas to develop their concept 
and form international research teams that can subsequently seek long-term 
funding from external funding agencies.
Strategic Conferences and Workshops
 Throughout the year, WUN 
hosts conferences, workshops, seminars and events that bring an international 
community of researchers together to share ideas, spark collaboration and further 
our ground-breaking research. These events partner with leading universities, 
academic societies, international organisations, foundations and governments to 
ensure our research has relevance and impact.
For more information visit 
www.wun.ac.uk
Worldwide Universities Network
JOIN A WORLD LEADING RESEARCH UNIVERSITY 
NETWORK, TACKLING GLOBAL CHALLENGES  
THROUGH INTERNATIONAL COLLABORA
TION.
WUN is a global network driving international r
esearch collaboration and 
developing resear
ch talent. Our membership spans 16 universities from  
10 countries on 5 continents. The WUN Global China Group includes our  
program on the two way understanding of China.
BENEFITS OF MEMBERSHIP
Research Collaboration
 
We foster over 100 active r
esearch pr
ograms, 
engage over 2,000 resear
chers and students, and work with government, 
international agencies and industry to find solutions to some of the world’s most 
significant challenges. Our resear
ch is focussed on four Global Challenges: 
Responding to Climate Change, Public Health (Non-communicable Disease), 
Global Higher Education and Research, and Understanding Cultur
es.
Research Mobilit
y
 Our Research Mobility Pr
ogramme (RMP) provides 
opportunities for postgraduate students 
and early career r
esearchers fr
om member 
universities to spend periods of up to three months at a partner university

Research F
unding
 Our Research Development Fund (RDF) pr
ovides seed 
funding to support bright resear
chers with great ideas to develop their concept 
and form international r
esearch teams that can subsequently seek long-term 
funding from exter
nal funding agencies.
Strategic Confer
ences and W
orkshops
 Throughout the year
, WUN 
hosts conferences, workshops, seminars and events that bring an inter
national 
community of resear
chers together to share ideas, spark collaboration and further 
our ground-br
eaking resear
ch. These events partner with leading universities, 
academic societies, international organisations, foundations and gover
nments to 
ensure our r
esearch has r
elevance and impact.
For more information visit 
www.wun.ac.uk
Wor
ldwide Universities Net
wor
k
JOIN A WORLD LEADING RESEARCH UNIVERSITY 
NETWORK, TACKLING GLOBAL CHALLENGES  
THROUGH INTERNATIONAL COLLABORA
TION.
WUN is a global network driving international r
esearch collaboration and 
developing resear
ch talent. Our membership spans 16 universities from  
10 countries on 5 continents. The WUN Global China Group includes our  
program on the two way understanding of China.
BENEFITS OF MEMBERSHIP
Research Collaboration
 
We foster over 100 active r
esearch pr
ograms, 
engage over 2,000 resear
chers and students, and work with government, 
international agencies and industry to find solutions to some of the world’s most 
significant challenges. Our resear
ch is focussed on four Global Challenges: 
Responding to Climate Change, Public Health (Non-communicable Disease), 
Global Higher Education and Research, and Understanding Cultur
es.
Research Mobilit
y
 Our Research Mobility Pr
ogramme (RMP) provides 
opportunities for postgraduate students 
and early career r
esearchers fr
om member 
universities to spend periods of up to three months at a partner university

Research F
unding
 Our Research Development Fund (RDF) pr
ovides seed 
funding to support bright resear
chers with great ideas to develop their concept 
and form international r
esearch teams that can subsequently seek long-term 
funding from exter
nal funding agencies.
Strategic Confer
ences and W
orkshops
 Throughout the year
, WUN 
hosts conferences, workshops, seminars and events that bring an inter
national 
community of resear
chers together to share ideas, spark collaboration and further 
our ground-br
eaking resear
ch. These events partner with leading universities, 
academic societies, international organisations, foundations and gover
nments to 
ensure our r
esearch has r
elevance and impact.
For more information visit 
www.wun.ac.uk
Wor
ldwide Universities Net
wor
k
JOIN A WORLD LEADING RESEARCH UNIVERSITY 
NETWORK, TACKLING GLOBAL CHALLENGES  
THROUGH INTERNATIONAL COLLABORA
TION.
WUN is a global network driving international r
esearch collaboration and 
developing resear
ch talent. Our membership spans 16 universities from  
10 countries on 5 continents. The WUN Global China Group includes our  
program on the two way understanding of China.
BENEFITS OF MEMBERSHIP
Research Collaboration
 
We foster over 100 active r
esearch pr
ograms, 
engage over 2,000 resear
chers and students, and work with government, 
international agencies and industry to find solutions to some of the world’s most 
significant challenges. Our resear
ch is focussed on four Global Challenges: 
Responding to Climate Change, Public Health (Non-communicable Disease), 
Global Higher Education and Research, and Understanding Cultur
es.
Research Mobilit
y
 Our Research Mobility Pr
ogramme (RMP) provides 
opportunities for postgraduate students 
and early career r
esearchers fr
om member 
universities to spend periods of up to three months at a partner university

Research F
unding
 Our Research Development Fund (RDF) pr
ovides seed 
funding to support bright resear
chers with great ideas to develop their concept 
and form international r
esearch teams that can subsequently seek long-term 
funding from exter
nal funding agencies.
Strategic Confer
ences and W
orkshops
 Throughout the year
, WUN 
hosts conferences, workshops, seminars and events that bring an inter
national 
community of resear
chers together to share ideas, spark collaboration and further 
our ground-br
eaking resear
ch. These events partner with leading universities, 
academic societies, international organisations, foundations and gover
nments to 
ensure our r
esearch has r
elevance and impact.
For more information visit 
www.wun.ac.uk
Wor
ldwide Universities Net
wor
k
博鳌观察第十一期英文-三校.indd   97
2015.1.4   12:31:22 PM
P01-96-BAGC3-R5.indd   38
15-3-5   下午10:36


Yüklə 19,38 Mb.

Dostları ilə paylaş:
1   ...   13   14   15   16   17   18   19   20   ...   42




Verilənlər bazası müəlliflik hüququ ilə müdafiə olunur ©genderi.org 2024
rəhbərliyinə müraciət

    Ana səhifə