Apr. 2015
063
WWW.BOAOREVIEW.COM
married.
On average, these populations have about six
children.
Return migrants have completed somewhat lower
levels of education than those who remained in Mexico
but clearly less than those who remained in the United
States (Figure 1). Among return migrants, those who
stayed longer in the United States have somewhat
higher levels of education.
Return migrants who stayed in the United States
longer have higher incomes than those who never left
or returned earlier. At the same time, they are less like-
ly to have ever contributed to a Mexican social-security
institute.
One possible reason for
the higher levels of income
among return migrants, particularly those who lived
in the United States longer, is their continuing to work
at older ages (Figure 2). Among those 65 to 69 years of
age, about three in five return migrants work, nearly
half working full-time. Among those at least 70 years of
age, more than two in five return migrants work, with
36%
30%
11%
24%
60%
58%
24%
11% 7%
24%
7% 9%
Immigrants from Mexico
remaining in the USA
Non-migrants
remaining
in Mexico
Migrants returning to
Mexico from the USA
Sources:
2003 Mexican Health and Aging Study; 2004 Health and Retirement Study
0~3
4~6
7~9
10+
Despite the importance of migration in the work lives of many
Mexicans, retirement decisions of older return migrants are not well
understood. The ageing of the Mexican population will require a
deeper understanding of older return migrants, how their access to
health care and social-security benefits determine retirement behavior,
and the importance of instituting a bilateral
social-security agreement
between the United States and Mexico.
Figure 1: Distribution of Migrant Populations (at least 50 years of age) by
Years of Education Completed
P001-118-BAGC3-R5D1b2a1B3.indd 63
15-3-7 下午12:34
064
Apr. 2015
Public Policy
more than one in four doing so full-time.
One possible reason for return-migrants to continue
working is their lack of social-security coverage. About
one in four older persons among the migrant and
non-migrant populations are receiving some type of
social-security benefit, whether from the U.S. Social Se-
curity Administration, a Mexican Social Security Insti-
tute, or a private pension. The source of these varies by
population. Return migrants who stayed longer in the
United States are most likely to receive benefits from
the U.S. Social Security Administration, while those
who never migrated are most likely to receive benefits
from a Mexican Social Security Institute.
The difficulties that migrants have in attaining so-
cial-security benefits may influence their decisions to
remain in the United States or to return to Mexico.
Another possible influence is individual health needs.
According to the 2003 Mexican Health and Aging
Study, older Mexican
immigrants remaining in the
United States are less likely to have health insurance
(64 percent) than return migrants (78 percent) and
non-migrants (77 percent). Furthermore, and contrary
to the “salmon-bias” hypothesis, which suggests that
U.S.Social Security
Mexican Social Security
Private Pensions
0.6%
20.3%
1.6%
6.5%
16.9%
1.1%
0.2%
21.9%
Part-time work
Full-time work
Return Migrants
Non-Migrants
Non-Migrants
Return Migrants
Ages 65 to 69
Ages 70 and above
70%
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
Figure 2: Work Status of Return Migrants
and Non-Migrants in Mexico
Figure 3: Receipt of Social-Security Benefits by Migration Status
Source:
2001 Mexican Health and Aging Study
Short-term migrants
(Less than a year)
Long-term migrants
(More than one year)
No migrants
Source:
2001 Mexican Health and Aging Study
1.4%
P001-118-BAGC3-R5D1b2a1B3.indd 64
15-3-7 下午12:34
Apr. 2015
065
WWW.BOAOREVIEW.COM
Mexicans in the United States return to Mexico due to
poor health, immigrants remaining in the United States
are more likely to have health insurance, and less likely
to have some (but not all) health problems as well as a
limitation
on daily activity, than return migrants and
non-migrants.
Survey data of older immigrants and return mi-
grants can shed new light on the health and economic
status of these populations. They provide a broader
perspective of the migration histories than other sur-
veys because the respondents have completed much of
their working lives.
Many Mexicans do not have access to public health
insurance and will not benefit from public retirement
pensions. Older return migrants are even less likely to
have been able to participate in either the US or Mex-
ican social-security systems long enough to qualify for
benefits.
As a result, work past the age of 70 is com-
mon—and even more likely for return migrants.
Despite the importance of migration in the work
lives of many Mexicans, retirement decisions of older
return migrants are not well understood. The ageing
of the Mexican population will require a deeper under-
standing of older return migrants, how their access to
health care and social-security benefits determine re-
tirement behavior, and the
importance of instituting a
bilateral social-security agreement between the United
States and Mexico.
While the United States and Mexico already have
bilateral social-agreements with several countries, they
have not approved one with each other. Such an agree-
ment, which encompassed legal Mexican workers,
could give legal migrant workers the ability to receive
retirement benefits comparable to those of non-mi-
grants in Mexico—and thereby give legal workers more
flexibility to return to Mexico for job or family reasons.
The labor-market flexibility resulting from such an
agreement could provide incentives for legal migrant
workers to return home rather than staying longer in
the United States in order to become eligible for U.S.
social-security benefits.
Older return migrants
are a vulnerable group be-
cause of the lack of pensions and health-insurance ben-
efits. Further research can help inform policy debates
on a social-security agreement between the United
States and Mexico that recognizes totalizing contri-
butions to each country’s social-security system could
improve the income security of return migrants.
Emma Aguila
Assistant Professor, Sol Price School of Public Policy, University of South California;
Former Senior Economist and Director, RAND Center for Latin American Social Policy
P001-118-BAGC3-R5D1b2a1B3.indd 65
15-3-7 下午12:34