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US Presence in Japan is key to regional stability

Kelly 09

(Robert E., Professor Pusan National University, Department of Political Science and Diplomacy, 12/18 “Should the US Pull out of South Korea (2): No” Accessed 7/29/15 from https://asiansecurityblog.wordpress.com/2009/12/18/should-the-us-pull-out-of-south-korea-2-no/ LC)

1. If we leave, everyone in Asia will read it as a sign that we are weak and that we are leaving Asia generally. Yes, this is the credibility argument straight out of the Vietnam, Iraq, and Afghanistan debates. But the world sees US power today as wavering; we are the tottering giant, especially in Asia. If we leave during the GWoT, that image will be confirmed, and the Chinese will push hard in Asia. A US departure will touch off an arms race as regional uncertainty rises. Asia is not where Europe or Latin America are in terms of regional amity. The US presence is more needed in this region, and it earns the US the friendship of the local democracies. It is hard to see how a spiraling arms race, as Japan and China openly start competing for regional leadership, plus perhaps India and China, would help the US. The US could very well be pulled back in later. A US departure from Korea (and Japan next?) will be read as a clear victory for China in the Sino-US regional competition.

US military presence in Japan solidifies Asian diplomatic relations—only way to check China

Roos 10

(John V, American Ambassador to Japan, 1/29/10 “The Enduring Importance of our Security Alliance” Accessed 7/29/15 from http://japan2.usembassy.gov/e/p/tp-20100129-71.html LC)

China is perhaps the best example of the complexities we face in the world today. There is no doubt that the economies of the United States, Japan, and China are increasingly interdependent. The United States relies on Japanese and Chinese capital. China could not succeed without U.S. and Japanese technology. And Japan and China depend on U.S. markets and we depend on China's markets. The interplay among our three countries has emerged as a driver in the global economy. China's leadership is also very important to solving global problems from climate change to North Korea's nuclear program. President Obama has emphasized that the U.S. seeks a positive cooperative and comprehensive relationship with China, and the world is counting on Beijing to work with the United States, Japan, and the international community to address some of the key issues of our day. Recently, for example, China has worked with us as a partner in stabilizing the international financial system, and in protecting vital sea lanes from piracy. Given Japan's and the United States' overlapping interests as allies, we believe that Japan's active bilateral engagement with China is a positive and complements our own. The relations among and between our three countries are not, as some would suggest, a zero sum game.¶ Yet, even as the United States and Japan work with China as a partner, we have questions about China's accelerating military modernization, especially in areas like cyber warfare, anti-satellite weapons, and the rapid modernization of its nuclear, submarine, and strategic forces. The build-up of military capabilities across from Taiwan over the past decade has the potential to erode the long-standing cross-strait military balance which is so essential to peace and prosperity. Many countries in the region share our concerns about China's recent efforts to limit freedom of navigation in international waters beyond territorial limits. As major maritime trading partners, freedom of navigation is essential to the futures of both the United States and Japan.¶ So while I want to be careful not to overstate these concerns, among these types of uncertainties in this region the deterrent effect of a robust U.S.-Japan Alliance is crucial to ensuring that the dramatic changes in the security environment do not negatively affect this region's future peace and prosperity. The purpose of maintaining a credible deterrent capability is to make the price of using force greater than any potential political or economic gains that could be obtained through the use of force. This is vitally important here in East Asia, which has four of the five largest armed forces in the world. The cost of a military conflict in this region is beyond imagination. In addition to the human toll, even a short conflict would set the global economy back years, if not longer. This is why there has been some concerns expressed these past several weeks about the perceived tensions in our alliance by leaders and editorialists from Singapore to Taiwan to Seoul. Our Alliance is the critical stabilizing force in this area of the world.¶ The fundamental role of U.S. forces in Japan is to make those who would consider the use of force in this region understand that that option is off the table. The forward deployment of U.S. forces puts us in a position to react immediately to emerging threats, and serves as a tangible symbol of our commitment. The 49,000 soldiers, sailors, airmen, and Marines in Japan are our front line forces.

US naval presence in Japan is key to preventing China takeover

Sheridan 09

(Greg, Foreign Editor for The Australian 9/5/9 “Hatoyama Poised for Global Struggle” Accessed 7/29/15 from http://www.realclearworld.com/articles/2009/09/05/hatoyama_poised_for_global_struggle_97137. html LC)

The Pentagon outlines China's continuing massive military build-up, vastly outstripping its economic growth. Much of the Chinese military spending is hidden, but the Pentagon estimates it could reach up to $US160billion ($190bn) a year.¶ This may seem small compared with the US's military budget in excess of $US500bn, but the US has vast global security responsibilities in Iraq, Afghanistan and all over the world, which China does not. And as the Pentagon report shows, much of China's furious military effort, apart from its gigantic expansion plans for its nuclear weapons arsenal, is directed squarely against the US, and designed to make it extremely costly for the US navy to continue to operate in the waters near China's east coast.¶ Here again, Japan is central. Although Japan's modest military build-up has been incremental, it is very hi -tech and is aimed precisely at building a new level of inter-operability with US forces in the context of a revived and newly reciprocal US alliance.¶ This is a minor revolution in Asia-Pacific security, and is one way the US alliance system has maintained the regional balance of military power.¶ At the same time, China and India cannot resolve their long-running border disputes, and the military of each nation eyes the other with barely disguised suspicion.¶ Australia and the US have both conducted modest naval exercises with China as a sensible form of confidence-building. But these exercises reflect another reality.¶ China's navy is going to be much more active in the Asia-Pacific, and its navy, along with the navies of the US, Japan and in due course even Australia, will start bumping into each other, so to speak. There is a real need for security capabilities to manage these encounters.

XT Asia Instability

US-China relations key to Asian Instability

VOA Editorial 11

(Voice of America 7/2/11 “Asia-Pacific Consultations” accessed 7/31/14 from http://editorials.voa.gov/content/asia-pacific-consultations-124947204/1482582.html LC)

U.S. Assistant Secretary of State Kurt Campbell recently hosted Chinese Vice Foreign Minister Cui Tiankai for the inaugural U.S.-China Consultations on the Asia-Pacific in Honolulu.¶ "The United States began the dialogue by highlighting that it is an Asia-Pacific country with an abiding national interest in peace, stability, and prosperity in the region," Assistant Secretary Campbell said at a news briefing after the consultation meeting. "[And] it welcomes a strong, prosperous and successful China to play a greater role in regional and world affairs."¶ The United States conducted open, frank, and constructive discussions with China to better understand each other's intentions, policies and actions toward the Asia-Pacific region. ¶ The United States underscored the importance of its existing alliances, which are the cornerstone of its strategy in the Asia-Pacific region, and its efforts to build new partnerships in the region. The United States emphasized its support for strengthening the role of regional institutions. In that context, the United States and China discussed ways for both countries to promote greater cooperation on the challenges facing the region.¶ Assistant Secretary Campbell and Vice Foreign Minister Cui discussed each sides' objectives for the upcoming meetings of the Association of South East Asian Nations' Regional Forum, the Asian-Pacific Economic Cooperation Leaders Meeting that will be held in Hawaii, the Pacific Islands Forum, and the East Asia Summit. ¶ The United States and China also had discussions about Northeast Asia, Southeast Asia, and the Pacific, with particular attention on timely issues such as North Korea, maritime security in the South China Sea, and Burma.¶ The Asia-Pacific Consultations are similar to dialogues the United States holds with many other Asia-Pacific nations, and complements existing U.S.-China dialogues on other critical regions of the world. The two sides agreed to hold another round of talks in China at a mutually convenient time.

Asian stability stops nuclear war—cooperation coordinates effective resistance

Desperes 01

(John, senior fellow at Rand 2001 “China, the United States, and the Global Economy” pp. 229 accessed 7/31/15 from http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monograph_reports/2006/MR1300.pdf LC)

Nevertheless, America’s main interests in China have been quite¶ constant, namely peace, security, prosperity, and a healthy environment.¶ Chinese interests in the United States have also been quite¶ constant and largely compatible, notwithstanding sharp differences¶ over Taiwan, strategic technology transfers, trade, and human rights.¶ Indeed, U.S.-Chinese relations have been consistently driven by¶ strong common interests in preventing mutually damaging wars in¶ Asia that could involve nuclear weapons; in ensuring that Taiwan’s¶ relations with the mainland remain peaceful; in sustaining the¶ growth of the U.S., China, and other Asian-Pacific economies; and, in¶ preserving natural environments that sustain healthy and productive¶ lives.¶ What happens in China matters to Americans. It affects America’s¶ prosperity. China’s growing economy is a valuable market to many¶ workers, farmers, and businesses across America, not just to large¶ multinational firms like Boeing, Microsoft, and Motorola, and it¶ could become much more valuable by opening its markets further.¶ China also affects America’s security. It could either help to stabilize¶ or destabilize currently peaceful but sometimes tense and dangerous¶ situations in Korea, where U.S. troops are on the front line; in the¶ Taiwan Straits, where U.S. democratic values and strategic credibility¶ may be at stake; and in nuclear-armed South Asia, where renewed¶ warfare could lead to terrible consequences. It also affects America’s¶ environment. Indeed, how China meets its rising energy needs and¶ protects its dwindling habitats will affect the global atmosphere and¶ currently endangered species. Nevertheless, America’s main interests in China have been quite¶ constant, namely peace, security, prosperity, and a healthy environment.¶ Chinese interests in the United States have also been quite¶ constant and largely compatible, notwithstanding sharp differences¶ over Taiwan, strategic technology transfers, trade, and human rights.¶ Indeed, U.S.-Chinese relations have been consistently driven by¶ strong common interests in preventing mutually damaging wars in¶ Asia that could involve nuclear weapons; in ensuring that Taiwan’s¶ relations with the mainland remain peaceful; in sustaining the¶ growth of the U.S., China, and other Asian-Pacific economies; and, in¶ preserving natural environments that sustain healthy and productive¶ lives.¶ What happens in China matters to Americans. It affects America’s¶ prosperity. China’s growing economy is a valuable market to many¶ workers, farmers, and businesses across America, not just to large¶ multinational firms like Boeing, Microsoft, and Motorola, and it¶ could become much more valuable by opening its markets further.¶ China also affects America’s security. It could either help to stabilize¶ or destabilize currently peaceful but sometimes tense and dangerous¶ situations in Korea, where U.S. troops are on the front line; in the¶ Taiwan Straits, where U.S. democratic values and strategic credibility¶ may be at stake; and in nuclear-armed South Asia, where renewed¶ warfare could lead to terrible consequences. It also affects America’s¶ environment. Indeed, how China meets its rising energy needs and¶ protects its dwindling habitats will affect the global atmosphere and¶ currently endangered species.