Company Snapshot
Volume XXXVII, Issue VII & VIII
- 23 -
Two Examples of Why HHC’s Book Value May Not Be a Good Indicator of The Company’s Intrinsic Value:
Ward Centers (Honolulu, HI)
Ward Centers is comprised of approximately 60 acres situated along Ala Moana Beach Park and is within
one mile of Waikiki and downtown Honolulu. It is also a ten minute walk from Ala Moana Center. Ward Centers
currently includes a 550,000 square foot shopping district containing six specialty centers and over 135 unique
shops, a variety of restaurants and an entertainment center which includes a 16 screen movie theater. HHC is
nearing completion of construction of a 732 stall parking deck that is expected to facilitate the leasing of additional
space at Ward Centers. In January 2009, the Hawaii Community Development Authority approved a 15-year
master plan, which entitles a mixed-use development encompassing a maximum of 9.3 million square feet,
including up to 7.6 million square feet of residential (4,300 units), five million square feet of retail and four million
square feet of office, commercial and other uses. Commenting on the residential opportunity of Ward Centers in a
2011 letter to shareholders, CEO Weinreb stated, “It also presents an opportunity to develop thousands of
residential units with unobstructed ocean views in one of the market’s most desirable residential locations.” In
August 2011, HHC announced that it is partnering with the MacNaughton Group and Kayashi Group to evaluate the
development of a luxury tower at Ala Moana Center.
As of December 31, 2010, the net book value of Ward Centers was $336.3 million. It should be noted that
land adjacent to the Ward Centers sold for $18 million an acre during 2007. Obviously, 2007 was a different
environment, but assuming a 50% haircut to that valuation still values the Ward Centers $200 million above its book
value.
South Street Seaport (New York, NY)
The South Street Seaport is comprised of three historic buildings and one pavilion shopping mall, which is
located at Pier 17 on the East River in lower Manhattan. The property is subject to two ground leases with the city
of New York. The property includes 298,759 square feet of retail space. Cobblestone streets, gas lamps, sailing
ships and a museum make the South Street Seaport a unique experience in New York City. The Company’s
redevelopment plan for South Street Seaport may ultimately include hotels, residential units, retail space and
restaurants. The implementation of any redevelopment plan would require numerous permits and approvals,
including the approval of HHC’s ground lessor, the City of New York.
While South Street Seaport represents one of HHC’s more valuable assets, its “book value” as of 12/31/10
was just $3.1 million. Last year, the South Street Seaport asset generated more than $5 million in cash net
operating income, and management believes that this substantially understates the potential future cash generating
potential of the property. According to Chairman Ackman in his April 2011 letter to shareholders, “Even using the
$5 million NOI number, one can get to values approaching $100 million using cap rates appropriate for New York
City retail assets, and we would likely leave a lot of money on the table if we sold it for this price.”
Company Snapshot
Volume XXXVII, Issue VII & VIII
- 24 -
Wells Fargo & Company
Ticker: WFC $24.36
Background:
WFC provides retail, commercial, and corporate banking throughout the United States. The company’s net
income is derived from 3 segments: Community Banking (48%), Wholesale Banking (44%), and Wealth,
Brokerage and Retirement (8%). The firm is one of the nation’s largest banks with over $1.2 trillion in
assets. WFC’s branch network has a national footprint, bolstered by the 2009 acquisition of Wachovia.
WFC has considerable exposure to the U.S housing market. The company is the nation’s largest mortgage
originator (it originates 25% of all residential mortgages). As of the most recent quarter, it held $317 billion
in residential mortgage loans on its balance sheet, representing 42% of the overall loan portfolio. We would
expect the beaten-down California market to be among the primary beneficiaries of a national housing
recovery. California continues to be WFC’s largest geographic market in terms of both loans and deposits.
Recent Developments:
WFC’s 2Q earnings report showed several encouraging signs. EPS of $0.70 was $0.01 above
expectations
and up 27% on a year over year basis. Importantly, credits metrics such as NPAs and NCOs were
improved on both a year over year and sequential basis. The firm’s ROA of 1.27% represented a new high
for the past 3 years. In addition, WFC announced a plan to cut another $1.5 billion in costs by the end of
2012.
Strategic Position:
WFC has established itself as a top tier bank with a superior track record and management team. WFC
achieved an average net interest margin of 4.9% during the 2001-2010 period, 150 basis points above the
peer average. A key aspect of WFC’s profitability over the years stems from the Company’s strong sales
culture. This culture has translated to superior levels of deposit growth and cross-selling. Importantly, this
record has been achieved while maintaining a relatively conservative lending profile.
The Company’s acquisition of Wachovia should yield both strategic and financial benefits. In addition to
expanding
its geographic footprint, the deal should create meaningful revenue synergies as Wells Fargo
integrates its sales culture within the Wachovia system. This deal, combined with smaller M&A, have
allowed WFC to bolster its market share position during the economic downturn.
Assuming the housing market recovers to more normalized levels, WFC earnings should be poised for
meaningful growth. WFC profits would likely benefit from key factors such as loan growth and reduced
charge-offs.
Financial Position:
As of the most recent quarter, the firm’s tier 1 capital ratio was 9.2% (well capitalized under Basel 1
standards). During 2Q, the company repurchased 35 million shares and redeemed $3.4 billion in trust
preferred securities.
During 1Q, WFC announced an increase in the annual dividend from $0.20 to $0.48 per share, and an
increase to its share repurchase authorization by 200 million shares (4% of shares outstanding). These
measures were part of a capital management plan submitted to the Federal Reserve, and further
underscored the firm’s capital adequacy from a regulatory perspective.
Valuation:
Applying bottom of the range valuation multiples (12x EPS, 1.5x tangible book value), produces a fair value
of approximately $40 per share, implying a potential total return of over 60%. From a longer-term
perspective, potential appreciation could be even more substantial as housing fundamentals improve, and
the company continues to build its book value and earnings power.
Clients of Boyar Asset Management, Inc. do not own shares of Wells Fargo & Company.
Analysts employed by Boyar’s Intrinsic Value Research LLC do not own shares of Wells Fargo & Company.