From old patterns to the new normal: still the
most attractive investment destination
The global economy is currently undergoing a period
of reconstruction: old patterns are being shattered and
banished forever, and new patterns must urgently be
established. The path ahead is hardly clear-cut. Amidst
this sea of uncertainty, however, one thing is already
unmistakably clear: China will play a leading role in
this new world order.
As the world’s second largest economy and its fast-
est-growing consumer market, a transitioning China
must effectively attract high-quality products, brands,
resources and management to service its domestic
market and consumers. Having relied on the expan-
sion of China’s home market
for the last three decades,
a growing number of Chinese businesses need to
expand abroad. Experiences so far have found that
mergers and acquisitions are the best way to expand
capabilities.
Both “going out” and “attracting in” offer a historical
opportunity to further integrate China into the global
economy. Competing on the world stage with industry
leaders is the only real way in which Chinese compa-
nies can truly develop their strengths. More crucially, it
requires them to apply possible capital strengths, and
enhance the innate dynamism of China’s economy.
Over the last year or so,
the Chinese economy has
found itself facing a dual challenge. First financially,
the challenge is the country’s economic slowdown;
high-speed growth is a thing of the past. Second, from
an investment point of view, the challenge is in terms
of awareness—the investment world now seems to
believe that China is no longer as attractive an in-
vestment destination as it has been over the last
decade.
As a China-focused buyout fund manager, Hony
Capital believes that the key issue is to recognize that
China’s new economic normal incorporates two un-
precedented changes. The first is the country’s shift
from being a net importer of capital to a net exporter,
and the second is its transformation from being “the
world’s factory” to “the world’s marketplace” due to its
consumption upgrade
and the expansion of its mid-
dle-income class. Against the background of this new
normal, the real Golden Age of investment in China has
only just begun. Chinese companies and capital have
investment opportunities that focus on innovation,
quality, branding, capital and a combination of these
factors are the only truly sustainable, viable opportuni-
ty which is acceptable and applicable both domestically
and internationally. We now have an opportunity to de-
velop “the China advantage”, to take “the China path”,
to tell “the China story”, and to promote outstanding
Chinese companies to excel on the world stage, while
also attracting a number of
prominent multinational
companies to provide better service to the Chinese
market.
From Old Patterns to
the New Normal:
An Unusual Opportunity
to Invest in China
By
John Zhao
102
Apr. 2015
Investment
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From “world’s factory” to “world’s market
place”
Over the last three decades, China has benefited from
high-speed economic growth brought about by globali-
zation. It has also made a tremendous contribution to
the world economy, relying on its relatively low costs and
abundant resources to attract international businesses
looking to produce cheap but attractive goods, thus
transforming itself into “the world’s factory”.
Today, China is already the world’s fastest growing,
most
attractive consumer market, and international
businesses are increasingly focusing on China, not for
its cheap labor, but because of its attractive market.
But the speed of this shift has been so fast that over the
next decade, the world as a whole – including China
– will need breathing space in which to “catch up”.
Previously, China had busied itself with the needs of
European and US consumers. Today, however, the fo-
cus is shifting to servicing domestic consumers. Shop-
pers on Chinese streets want not only cheap and attrac-
tive goods, but also products that incorporate leading
brands, technology and performance. For example,
China is a major producer of mobile telephony, but
imported Apple handsets remain firm favorites. China
is also a major automobile manufacturing nation, but
many of the vehicles on its roads are still imported. We
believe
that in the future, domestic products and servic-
es as well as customized services will become the norm,
and it will be some time before every player comes to
this same realization.
In fact, foreign companies offering leading brands,
products, technologies and services have already
spotted the enormous potential of this market. Fur-
thermore, this trend matches the new focus of Chinese
economic growth.
This trend is confirmed by our own experience.
In 2008, Hony helped Zoomlion, China’s leader in
construction machinery, to acquire a pioneer in the
construction machinery industry, the
Italian company
CIFA. By 2010, one of the companies in our portfolio,
Biosensors, had become a world-renowned manu-
facturer of cardiac stents. By 2014, our investments
included a Hollywood film and television production
company, a Silicon Valley cloud computing business,
and a famous British pizza chain. All of these were
connected by a common investment theme: the “going
out” of Chinese capital and their development of share-
holdings, leading to the introduction of high-quality
foreign service and products. Chinese fund managers
have enabled these foreign companies to become better
Chinese companies.
Cross-border investment has always been a strategic
focus for Hony. However, our definition of
cross-border
investment differs somewhat from that of our foreign
counterparts. We seek out cross-border investment
originating from China, and rely on our over 10 years
experience of being a “China expert” to track the major
John Zhao
CEO, Hony Capital
Apr. 2015
103
WWW.BOAOREVIEW.COM
China’s economy is undergoing unprecedented changes–from
being a net importer of capital to a net exporter, and from being
“the world’s factory” to “the world’s marketplace”. Against
the background of this new normal, the real Golden Age of
investment in China has only just begun. Both “going out” and
“attracting in” offer a historical opportunity
to further integrate
China into the global economy.
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