156
3. Biorhythm
Intelligence, Surprise + Deception, Operator’s Skill for Hostage Taker
Intelligence, Surprise + Deception, Operator’s Skill for Rescue Force
Mission
Success
Mission
Failure
St
ar
t o
f C
ris
is
St
ar
t o
f C
ris
is
Time
(weeks)
50%
50%
probability
probability
of success
of success
23 May 1977: Nine South
23 May 1977: Nine South
Mol uccan ter rorists sei ze train
Moluccan terrori sts seize train
in De Punt and school in
in De Punt and sch ool i n
Bovensmilde.
Bovensmilde.
HIT
0 1 2 3
4 5
Seven terrorists were killed
and two surrendered. Two
hostages were killed i n the
firefi ght acci dentally.
Laced food is
Laced food i s
introduced i n school.
i ntroduced in school.
Terrori sts are forced
Terrorists are forced
to rel ease chil dr en
to release children
(all but four) .
(all but four).
Sni pers swim across
canal and emplace
TECHINT on train.
Undercover police
officers bring food to
the train and gather
HUMINT.
Terror ists rel ease
several hostages
from the tr ain. Intel is
gathered.
Assault element
places diversionary
expl osive device i n
front of tr ain.
Sniper-observer
teams provi de
coverage of target
24hrs a day.
Terrori sts impatient,
make new demands.
10 Jun 77: decision made to
l aunch a simultaneous assa ult
on the tr ain and at the school.
At 0435hrs, F-104 star fighter s
from the Royal Netherl ands Air
Force flew over the train and
kicked their afterburners
Assault el ement
follows by blowing
charges on doors and
windows
Assault element in
armored vehicles
takes control of
the scho ol
Figure 42.
Author’s Representation for the De Punt Train Rescue Biorhythm
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