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losses due to increased foreign exchange rates and interest rates. Controlling these risks is to reduce the limits for
counterparty banks to lower the ratings of stress-testing of possible losses due to the growth of the euro and
interest rates on the Issuer approved the procedure control currency and interest rate risks, legal support of
contractual base.
Some loans of the Issuer are connected with floating interest rates of MosPrimе and Euribor. However, a
share of loans with a fixed interest rate is 76 % of the Issuer's balance of outstanding loans to the end of 1 quarter
of 2016. In order to minimize interest risk by the Issuer, swap contract was concluded so as to fix variable
interest rate in relation to the credit of PJSC Sberbank (approximately 1,33 billions of RUB on March 31, 2016).
According to the Issuer, inflation has a critical influence on securities payments, inflation levels as well as
expected actions of the Issuer with regard to a decrease in the above risk:
The inflation level directly depends on the political and economic situation in the country. An increase of
the inflation is connected with general increase in interest rates.
The adverse effect of inflation on financial and economic activities of the Issuer may result from the
following risks:
• Risk of loss related to a decrease in the actual cost of accounts receivable in case of significant deferral
or delay in payment;
• Risk of increase in the cost of Issuer’s obligations;
• Risk of increase in product, works and services cost due to an increase in prices for energy resources, transport
expenses and salaries, etc.;
• Risk of decrease of actual cost of funds raised for financing the investment program.
It should be noted a significant effect of inflation on the financial results of the Issuer's activity. Inflation
growth significantly affects the financial performance results of the Issuer. It may lead to an increase in the
Issuer's costs as a consequence to a fall in profits and in the profitability of activities. In addition, the rise in
inflation is connected with increasing of borrowing costs for the Issuer, which is characterised by risk of lack of
working capital.
Critical significance of inflation, according to the Issuer:
Taking into account the level of potential earnings of the Issuer's activity, the critical inflation level under which
the Issuer would have difficulties, is equal to at least 20 % per annum. However, according to the forecast of
socio-economic development of the Russian Federation for 2016 and the planning period of 2017 and 2018,
published by the Russian Ministry of Economic Development, the rate of annual inflation (CPI) in 2016 is
projected at 6.4% in the baseline scenario with the price of Urals oil 50 dollars. / bbl., at 8.3%
in the conservative
scenario, with the price of Urals oil of $ 40. / bbl., at 6.2%
in the target scenario, if the price of Ural oil per bbl is
50 dollars. At the end of 2015, according to Rosstat, inflation in Russia amounted to 12.9% against 11.4% in
2014, 6.5% in 2013, 6.6% in 2012, 6,1% in 2011 and 8.8% in 2010 and 2009.
In the event of a rise in inflation, the Issuer plans to raise working capital turnover by amending
contractual relations with its consumers.
Liquidity risk:
Rational liquidity risk management includes maintaining sufficient monetary funds and convertible
securities so as to maintain the Issuer's ability to execute its current obligations. Temporarily disposable
monetary resources are placed in short-term financial instruments, generally in bank deposits and promissory
notes. The list of credit institutions and calculation of risk limits concerning placement of temporarily disposable
monetary resources is approved on a quarterly basis under the Rules accepted by the Company.
Indices of the Issuer's financial statements subject to change to a greater extent as a result of the aforesaid
financial risks. Risks, probability and nature of changes in statements:
Risk
Probability
Indices of financial statements subject to change to a
greater extent as a result of the said financial risks
Nature
of
changes
in
statements
Increase in loan
rates of banks
Low
Balance sheet (form No. 1):
1) Accounts payable (other creditors)
Statement of Financial Performance (form No. 2): 1)
Interest
payable
2) Net profit
Profit decrease, increase of
debt service costs
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Exchange risk
Average
Balance sheet (form No. 1):
1) Accounts receivable
2) Accounts payable
3) Cash —
Statement of Financial Performance (form No. 2):
1) Other income and expenses
2) Net profit
3) Interest payable
Growth in investment costs,
increase
in
accounts
payable, growth in other
expenses,
increase
in
expenditures
connected
with interest and reduction
of net profit
Inflation risks
High
Statement of Financial Performance (form No. 2):
1) Other expenses
2) Cost of goods, products, works, services sold
3) Net profit
Profit decrease
Liquidity risk
Low
Balance sheet (form No. 1):
1) Accounts receivable
2) Cash
3) Accounts payable
Statement of Financial Performance (form No. 2):
1) Other income and expenses
2) Net profit
Profit decrease
2.4.4. Legal Risks
Since generation as well as purchase and sale of electric energy and capacity is the core business of the
Issuer, legal risks concerning regulation of this type of activities may significantly affect the Issuer’s status, i.e.
lead to a decrease in the Issuer’s net profits. A decrease of the net profits of the Issuer in its turn may lead to a
decrease in the amount of the dividends payable.
Risks Related to Changes
in the Currency Control
Domestic Market:
Taking into account that the Issuer’s export of products is insignificant, the risk of changes to currency
regulation shall be deemed insignificant as well.
Foreign Market:
Taking into account that the Issuer’s import of products is insignificant, the risk of changes to currency
regulation shall be deemed insignificant as well.
Legal Risks Related to Changes in the Customs Clearance Regulations and Duties
Domestic Market:
Taking into account that the Issuer’s export of products is insignificant, the risk of changes in customs
regulations and duties shall be deemed insignificant as well.
Foreign Market:
Taking into account that the Issuer’s import of products is insignificant, the risk of changes in customs
regulations and duties shall be deemed insignificant as well.
Risks Related to Amendments to the Tax Laws
Domestic Market:
The Russian tax system is characterized by a large number of taxes and frequent changes in regulations.
The Russian tax laws are subject to varying interpretations and frequent changes. Laws and regulations often
include unclear and contradictory wording and allow varying interpretation of the same issue. As a consequence,
tax authorities often have different views on interpretation of the same regulatory documents at different levels.
Therefore, the operations and activities which have never been contested may be contested. Tax audits may
cover three calendar years of activity immediately preceding the year of audit. Under certain conditions even the
earlier period may become subject to audit.
Amendments to the tax legislation as regards an increase in the tax rates or changes to the tax calculation
and payment procedure or terms may result in a decrease in the net profits of the Issuer, that in its turn may lead
to a decrease in the amount of dividends payable. These risks of the Issuer are considered as insignificant.
Foreign Market:
Risks related to amendments to the tax law are considered as insignificant. These risks influence the
Issuer to the same extent as other members of the market.
Risks related to changes in requirements governing licensing of the Issuer's principal activities or
licensing rights to use objects with limited circulation (including natural resources) as well as requirements
pertaining to environmental and other permits and compliance with established standards
Domestic Market:
Changes to the licensing requirements of the Issuer’s principal activities may delay preparation of the
documents necessary for prolongation of the license, and might require that the Issuer comply with the stated
requirements. In general this risk should be deemed insignificant, except that for prolongation of the license or