v
List of Tables
Table
1Exchange
of
Information
with
Probation
20
Table 2 Sample Parole Compliance Check Findings
24
Table
3
Number
of
Observations
and
Interviews
31
Table 4
Number of Shots Fired and Robberies,
January
2005
–
September
2011
35
Table 5 Poison Regression Results for Shots
Fired
and
Robbery
42
Table 6 Poisson Regression Results for Shots Fired and Robbery
STD
Areas
(Sectors
11,
16,
22)
45
Table 7 Poisson Regression Results for Shots Fired and Robbery,
Non-STD Areas
46
Table 8 DiD Poisson regression Results of
Confirmed
Shots
Fired
48
Table 9 DiD Poisson regression Results of Robberies
48
vi
List of Figures
Figure
1
Kernel
Density
Map
17
Figure 2 Tag Line and Logo – It’s OK to Report Gun Violence in Joliet
26
Figure 3 Logic Model
29
Figure 4 Confirmed Shots Fired, January
2005
–
September
2011
36
Figure
5
Robberies,
January
2005
–
September
2011
37
Figure 6 Confirmed Shots Fired for STD Areas (Sectors 11, 16, 22),
January 2005 – September 2011
43
Figure 7 Confirmed Shots Fired for Non STD Areas,
January 2005 – September 2011
45
vii
Appendix
Appendix 1 Strategic Tactical Deployment Meeting Report
Appendix 2 Strategic Tactical Deployment Activity Summary Report
Appendix 3 Field Interview Card
Appendix 4 Strategic Tactical Deployment Map
Appendix 5 Strategic Tactical Deployment Roll-Call Training
Appendix 6 Exchanges of Information with Probation
Appendix 7 Intelligence Bulletin
Appendix 8 Parole Compliance Check Findings
Appendix 9 Joliet SMART Policing Logo and Tag Line Design Contest
viii
Executive Summary
From October 2010 through September 2012, the Joliet, Illinois Police Department engaged
in the Strategic Tactical Deployment (STD) program aimed at reducing gun violence. The
program involved the weekly analysis of crime data and the subsequent deployment of STD
officers in the coming week. While similar to hot-spot policing, the STD strategy was
supplemented with the exchange of information with probation and parole authorities in an effort
to remove violent offenders from the community. The Joliet Police Department also participated
in a community outreach program to increase citizen reporting of gun violence and subsequent
cooperation with the police.
The purpose of this study, funded by the Office of Justice Programs, was to evaluate the
success of the Strategic Tactical Deployment effort. To accomplish this evaluation, researchers
used both qualitative and quantitative methods of analysis. The qualitative analysis utilized a
process evaluation to determine the extent to which the Joliet Police Department understood and
implemented the proposed research strategy. Qualitative data were gathered through
observations of STD meetings, field observations, and interviews of program participants. The
goal of the qualitative analysis was twofold. First, researchers sought to determine the extent to
which the STD program was implemented by Joliet police personnel. Second, qualitative
methods were utilized to discover the utility of the exchange of information between police and
probation/parole authorities.
Quantitative methods were used to determine: 1) whether the STD process had an impact on
gun violence in Joliet, 2) whether violent crime was impacted by the STD strategy, and 3) the
impact of enhanced cooperation with probation and parole authorities. Data analyzed included
indicators of violent crime, the location of STD zones, and police activity measures. The police
ix
activity measures were used to measure the impact of increased law enforcement efforts within
the STD deployment zones. Measures included the number of strategic tactical deployments, the
number of arrests affected by STD personnel, and the number of probation/parole contacts made
by STD personnel. Sociological and demographic variables were also included to control for
potential differences between the STD areas.
To further assess and clarify the potential impact of
the STD strategy on violent crime, we conducted an interrupted time series quasi-experiment.
Overall, the Joliet Police Department was successful in implementing the STD process:
crime and intelligence data were analyzed, STD areas were determined, officers were redeployed
to the STD hot spot areas, and information was regularly exchanged with probation and parole
authorities. In addition, a time-series analysis provided evidence that the STD intervention did
lead to reduced levels of gun violence.
While modest, greater reductions in shots fired calls were
achieved in the STD areas when compared to the non-STD areas, however, both areas had
reductions.
Although the results indicate a reduction in shots fired during the intervention
periods, these reductions were not statistically significant. While t
hese findings support the
argument that directed police patrols can have a positive effect on crime further research is called
for.