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further
more refined
deliberate plan of action
is developed, to be conducted in the event
negotiations fail. This plan is never finalized; it is updated and refined continuously as
new information and intelligence come in that can aid in the rescue. A third option
developed in the rescue planning sequence is the
emergency-deliberate plan of action
;
this
plan is a variation of the
deliberate plan of action
. It is a contingency plan in the
event that the terrorists detect the rescue force during their approach to the target, while
conducting the intended
deliberate plan of action
. For example, the rescue force can be
moving to the target area surreptitiously and a terrorist might be
out for a walk outside of
the target area. The rescue force can be compromised at this point and be forced to
change their original plan and rush to the target. The new plan now becomes the
emergency-deliberate plan of action
. These three plans become the essence of the rescue
order. This is why it is so essential that the operators get intimately involved in the
planning process, aware of all the changes and contingencies, able to execute it when the
time comes.
The keystone of SOF mission planning is that the operational element
executing the mission must plan the mission (Joint Pub 3-05, 1998, p. IV-
6).
Not only is it critical that planning
occurs at the operator level, but the planning
and rehearsals must fully integrate all participants involved with the rescue operation.
This was a critical mistake during Operation EAGLE CLAW in 1980—the failed rescue
attempt to recover the hostages in Iran. Throughout the six-month preparation and
rehearsal process, none of the individual operational elements planned or rehearsed their
portion of the operation as one group. Staff planners from JTF 1-79 isolated themselves
from the operational element in a futile effort to preserve operational security, failing to
disseminate the plan properly. This caused mass confusion once the helicopters departed
with
the assault force, leading up to the disaster at the DESERT ONE (see Chapter VIII
for case study).
Any consideration to conduct a military rescue attempt must take into account the
strategic, operational, and tactical, first and second order effects on all four instruments of
national power—diplomatic, informational, military, economical (known as the
DIME
).
The rescue option
should be the last resort, after the diplomatic, informational, and
30
economical instruments of national power have been exhausted; nevertheless, it should be
a synergistic approach from the onset of the crisis, and not one that moves incrementally,
waiting to the last moment to stand up a rescue plan of action.
The characteristics of the hostage takers are critical in determining when to
conduct the rescue. The intelligence operations require real
time precision and ways to
disseminate immediately to the rescue personnel as well as the negotiating party. Fusion
of all accurate and timely intelligence must focus on developing the most effective plan
to rescue the hostages together with the operators in the decision making process.
A valid rescue plan must meet five prerequisites of any military decision-making
process. The plan must be
suitable
—it can accomplish the mission and comply with the
guidance given from the highest levels. The plan must be
feasible
—it must be able to
accomplish the mission within the established time, space, and resource constraints. It
must be
acceptable
—it must balance cost with advantage gained by executing a
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