Table 1
The change of mean temperature anomalies for some months in the different period
Per
io
ds
St
at
io
ns
Anomalies
I
II
III
IV
V
VI
VII
VIII IX
X
XI
XII
Annual
1992
-2004
Khachmaz
1.1 0.8
0.9 0.1
0.1 0.5
0.5 1.1
0.4 1.0 -0.4 -0.6
0.4
Sumgayit
0.7 0.9
0.8 0.4 -0.2 -0.1 0.0 0.6
0.2 0.7 -0.2 -0.6
0.3
Mashtaga
0.9 1.0
1.0 0.7
0.3 0.4
0.3 1.0
0.3 0.8 -0.1 -0.4
0.5
Pirallahy
0.4 0.9
1.0 0.6
0.3 0.3
0.2 0.8
0.1 0.6 -0.5 -0.6
0.4
Neft Dashlari
0.6 0.8
0.8 0.4
0.1 0.2
0.2 0.6
0.1 0.6 -0.2 -0.3
0.3
Chylov
0.8 0.9
0.8 0.4
0.1 0.1
0.2 0.7
0.2 0.7 -0.1 -0.3
0.4
Neftchala
1.0 0.8
0.9 0.5
0.0 0.0
0.0 0.8
0.4 0.7 -0.2 -0.4
0.4
Lankaran
1.0 0.8
0.7 0.6
0.1 0.4
0.4 1.3
0.5 0.9 -0.1 -0.3
0.5
Average
0.8 0.9
0.9 0.5
0.1 0.2
0.2 0.9
0.3 0.8 -0.2 -0.4
0.4
2005
-2016
Khachmaz
1.0 1.0
1.6 0.3
0.8 1.8
0.8 1.7
1.4 1.3
0.0 0.5
1.0
Sumgayit
0.7 0.7
1.5 0.7
1.0 1.4
1.0 1.6
1.2 1.0
0.0 0.5
0.9
Mashtaga
1.0 0.9
1.7 0.9
1.5 1.9
1.0 2.0
1.3 1.2
0.4 0.5
1.2
Pirallahy
0.9 0.6
1.3 0.7
1.2 1.7
1.1 1.7
1.1 1.1
0.3 0.8
1.0
Neft Dashlari
0.7 0.5
0.9 0.3
1.1 1.9
1.2 1.8
1.2 1.0
0.2 0.4
0.9
Chylov
0.6 0.4
1.3 0.6
1.4 1.9
1.2 1.4
1.1 0.9 -0.1 0.5
1.0
Neftchala
0.9 0.9
1.5 0.8
1.5 1.6
0.8 1.5
1.1 1.0
0.0 0.3
1.0
Lankaran
1.0 1.1
1.7 0.7
1.4 1.7
1.3 1.8
1.4 1.1
0.0 0.3
1.1
Average
0.9 0.8
1.4 0.6
1.2 1.7
1.1 1.7
1.2 1.1
0.1 0.5
1.0
1992
-2016
1992
-2016
1992
-2016
Khachmaz
1.0 0.9
1.2 0.2
0.5 1.1
0.6 1.4
0.9 1.2 -0.2 0.0
0.7
Sumgayit
0.7 0.8
1.1 0.6
0.4 0.6
0.5 1.1
0.7 0.8
0.2 -0.1
0.6
Mashtaga
0.8 0.9
1.3 0.8
0.9 1.2
0.7 1.5
0.8 1.0
0.1 0.1
0.8
Pirallahy
0.6 0.7
1.2 0.6
0.7 1.0
0.6 1.2
0.6 0.9 -0.1 0.1
0.7
Neft Dashlari
0.6 0.7
0.9 0.3
0.6 1.0
0.7 1.2
0.7 0.8
0.0 0.0
0.6
Chylov
0.7 0.7
1.1 0.6
0.9 1.1
0.8 1.2
0.8 1.0
0.1 0.2
0.8
Neftchala
1.0 0.9
1.2 0.6
0.7 0.8
0.3 1.1
0.7 0.9 -0.1 -0.1
0.7
Lankaran
1.0 1.0
1.2 0.6
0.7 1.0
0.8 1.5
0.9 1.0 -0.1 0.0
0.8
Average
0.8 0.8
1.2 0.5
0.7 1.0
0.6 1.3
0.8 1.0
0.0 0.0
0.7
88
References
Chen J. L., Pekker, T., Wilson, C. R., Tapley, B. D., Kostianoy, A. G., Cretaux, J.-F.,
and Safarov, E. S., (2017), Long-Term
Caspian Sea Level Change, Geophys.
Res. Lett., 44, doi:10.1002/2017GL073958.
Climate Change 2014 Synthesis Report./
https://www.ipcc.ch/pdf/assessment-report/
ar5/
syr/SYR_AR5_FINAL_full.pdf
Ivkina N.I., Naurozbaeva Zh.K., Bjerne K. 2017. The impact of climate change
conditions for the ice regime of the Caspian Sea.
www.water-ca.org/article/2589.pdf
.
Safarov S.H., Huseynov J.S., Ibrahimova I.V. The properties
of the long-term temperature
changes on the western territories of Azerbaijan Republic / International scientific-
technical Conference “Natural disasters and human life safety”, December 04-06,
2017, Baku, Azerbaijan p. 308
Vilesov E.N. Features climate Аstana and their changes in 90 year//
Hydrometeorology and Ecology,
2017, 2, pp. 7-17.
89
*
Climate Change impact to water resources of Kura river Run-off and ways of its
mitigation.
Rafig Verdiyev, PhD, Scientific Research Hydrometeorology İnstitute
Tahmina Bagirova, Scientific Research Hydrometeorology Institute
Keyword: water discharge, temperature, precipitation, climate
Introduction
Kura with its vast river system is the key water provider or, as hydrologists say, is the main water artery of the
Caucasus. The river flows through the territories of Turkey, Georgia and Azerbaijan Republics.Total water
resources of the Kura river are 26.6 km
3
and of the Araz river are approximately 10 km
3
. At present water
resources of Kura in Georgia and Turkey and water resources of Araz in Turkey, Iran and Armenia are
decreased by more than 20% as a result of water intake. Also by taking into account of water loss from the
channel (river-bed) of Kura river lower course, one may find that available at Azerbaijan Republic water
resources of transboundary rivers of Kura basin at present is less than natural ones by 30 %. About 11-12
cubic km of water in the Kura river basin is being used for different purposes. Of which 60-70 % goes to
agriculture, 20-25% to economy and the rest for water supply of cities and other residential areas/1-2/.
Materials and methods
Climate change impact assessment on run-off of rivers falling into the Caspian
Sea within the Azerbaijan
Republic is also estimated in this work. In this purpose the annual and seasonal value of natural and disposed
river run-off is estimated by using a large number of initial material. The spartial-temporal assessment of
change of run-off, temperature and precipitation over the river basin have been undertaken. Annual,
seasonal and ecological run-off amounts of Kura river in Salyan station and other rivers of the Republic
were restored/1-3/.
In accordance with GISS( Increase of annual air temperature by 4.8-5.3
0
and annual precipitation by 6 -
12%), and GFDL-3 ( Increase of annual air temperature by 4.2-4.4
0
and annual precipitation by 1 -
4%)climate change models and scenario recommended by specialists of Azerbaijan Academy
of Science about air temperature increase by 2 degrees by the end of the century.
Taking into account changes of air temperature and precipitation in accordance with climate change
scenarios based on amounts of the available for today at the territory of Azerbaijan (observed) annual run-off
of Kura and potential water resources of the it(Natural run off amounts) the climate change impact to the
water resources of Kura has been estimated.
Taking into account changes of air temperature and precipitation in accordance with climate change
scenarios based on amounts of the available for today at the territory of Azerbaijan (observed) annual run-off
4,7
4,3
4,4
4,7
5,2
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
CCCM
UK89
GISS
GFDL-3
GFDL-T
t,d
eg
ree
90