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HUMINT sources in Iran added to the environmental uncertainty of the JTF. Two survey
teams were launched by clandestine means prior to the operation: one survey team with a
combat controller from the Air Force to survey the landing
strip at DESERT ONE and
place landing lights, and another survey team to survey the actual grounds in Tehran and
prepare a welcoming committee with vehicles. Both of these operations were highly
dangerous and proved to be very successful, but the intelligence
collected during these
operations was not disseminated.
The weather conditions were critical in adding uncertainty during the operation,
specifically for the pilots, increasing the difficulty of flying under such conditions. The
uncertainty of the condition in which the hostages were in as well as an increasingly
hostile attitude by the government of Iran, added to the
volatility of the environment, thus
precipitating the President’s decision to act. No one really knew the condition of the
hostages. The lack of contingency rehearsals added uncertainty during the infiltration
phase. The inexperience of the Marine pilots being placed in an uncertain environment
that was inevitably hostile, and expected
to conduct a high-risk, high skill level task with
little or no preparation, was a recipe for failure.
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