50
|
I
BRAHIM
E
L
H
OUDAIBY
not
carried out by the movement, but rather by “youth activists who are
close to Jamaah”
and who lack “sufficient understanding of Islam”.
65
Neo-terrorism has been growing stronger over the years. With a
“rapid boom in technology and communication, it takes no more than a
connection to the Internet and a few dollars to develop a bomb and
threaten the security and lives of innocents anywhere”.
66
As long as the
causes of radicalism exist, neo-terrorism will continue its ascent and will
remain impossible to control and monitor using security measures.
A series of terrorist attacks shocked Cairo in 2005.
Analysts argued
that the attacks were carried out by a “third generation of Islamist
movements, which has not lived the developments of the 1970s and 1980s
movements and has no organisational ties with them”.
67
Although Egypt’s
regime has succeeded in pre-empting some attacks and has arrested cells of
neo-terrorists (often said to have affiliations with al-Qaeda), the nature of
these movements undermines the possibility of dealing with them using
security measures alone.
The emergence of post-institutional Islamists only stresses the
importance of integrating Islamists and addressing the causes of
radicalisation. Such an emergence also reflects the partial failure of
institutionalised
Islamist movements, as well as the absolute failure of the
regime’s policies towards Islamism.
Conclusions
Egyptians are sceptical towards any interventionist attempts by Western
countries, yet scepticism towards the US is higher than that towards
Europe. It is therefore recommended that the EU distance itself from US
foreign policy.
While recognising the importance of working with the current
regimes of the Middle East, the EU should also forge direct,
consistent
relations with moderate Islamists. This requires both sides to make top-
65
Ahmed (2003), op. cit., p. 37.
66
El Houdaiby, “Your Best Friend Hates You”,
Conflicts Forum, 30 September
2007(b) (retrieved from http://conflictsforum.org/2007/your-best-friend-hates-
you/).
67
Arafa (2005), op. cit.
T
RENDS IN POLITICAL
I
SLAM IN
E
GYPT
|
51
level decisions to “maintain their engagement as a proper policy for
interaction and not yield to pressure and suspend it”.
68
Yet before undertaking such engagements, EU policy-makers should
determine the actors with whom they want to talk.
This requires
developing clear criteria for engagement, which should be based on the
level and potential for moderation among the different groups and
individuals.
To overcome mutual mistrust, the EU could start by interacting with
Islamist NGOs that are affiliated with those groups the EU decides to
engage in talks. Apolitical engagement would be less sensitive for both
parties
as well as the regime, and would help build bridges of trust
between the EU and Islamists. Although financial assistance would not be
welcomed by Islamists, logistical assistance and training would serve this
purpose for this phase of the engagement.
Whereas direct political engagement seems unlikely at present,
decreasing hostility towards the West could be promoted through being
“moderately vocal but firm and consistent with the ruling regimes, and
urg[ing] them to allow immediate structural changes”.
69
Adopting robust
stances on issues of human rights and the rule of law would help in the
engagement process, and would further
facilitate the moderation of
Islamists and their integration in politics.
A final component in a successful strategy that would contribute to
the moderation of political Islam in Egypt would be the pursuit of better
cultural relations. Cultural exchange – demonstrating openness to dialogue
and an appreciation of cultural diversity – together with economic
integration and a principled stance on human rights and the rule of law
will contribute to the emergence of moderate Islamist discourses that could
overshadow radical ones.
68
E. El-Din Shahin,
Political Islam: Ready for Engagement, Working Paper, FRIDE,
Madrid, February 2005.
69
Ibid.
52 |
3.
U
NDERSTANDING
H
AMAS
’
S
RADICALISATION
K
HALED
A
L
-H
ASHIMI
amas has become probably the most emblematic case of
radicalisation. It is one that the EU has singularly failed to deal
with. Hamas’s leadership shows no signs of softening its attitude
despite the political, economic and military pressure exerted upon it. A
group that genuinely believes it is accountable only to God does not yield
easily to pressure. Policies designed to diminish its support have backfired
because they fail to understand the factors that trigger Hamas’s defiant
stance.
This chapter explains the four different dimensions of Hamas’s
radicalisation – the
individual, social, governmental and international.
1
In
breaking down the factors driving radicalisation in this way, it is suggested
that light can be shed on how the EU can better foster the de-radicalisation
of Hamas. The prospects for de-radicalisation can be found in militant
resistance being viewed as only one component of individual resistance,
the increasing social acceptability of the
hudna [cease-fire] concept, the
focus on issues of practical governance and the group’s evolving
relationship with the international community.
Each of these dimensions
holds important policy implications for the EU.
1
The analysis in this chapter is based primarily on seven interviews with senior
members of Hamas in Syria in summer 2008. The interviewees agreed to be quoted
as part of this research in exchange for anonymity.
H